February 22, 2022:
Information Clearing House
-- I listened to the
full Russian Security Council meeting, then to
Putin’s address to the nation, then the signing
of the the treaties on cooperation and mutual
support.
The first thing which I want to point out is that
this was a very carefully orchestrated event, and I
don’t just mean today’s live meetings and signing.
For those of us who follow Russian politics
very closely there can be no doubts that all this
was prepared long BEFORE the Russian ultimatum to
the West.
This is “the plan” which Putin once openly
referred to.
Let me make this clear:
this
recognition should NOT, repeat, NOT, be seen in
isolation. It is just ONE PHASE in a PROCESS which
began at least a year ago, or more, and there is
much more to come.
Next, that must be repeated again,
this is NOT
about the LDNR, the Donbass or even the Ukraine,
this is about a new security architecture on Europe
and, therefore, on our entire planet.
This means that Russia expected exactly the
reaction she eventually got (western politicians are
fantastically predictable, being both ignorant,
stupid and arrogant) and that gave her a
legal basis to take the current action
(call it R2P, or moral duty, or genocide prevention
or whatever else you wish).
I want to use this opportunity to express my
deepest gratitude to President Biden and Chancellor
Scholz who both
played their role to perfection, especially Scholz
with his “laughable genocide talk” comment. More
generally, a lot of the credit for what just
happened today goes to the leaders of the Empire who
played their hand exactly as the Kremlin hoped they
would.
Next, I immediately want to mention sanctions.
Let it be clearly told: whatever sanctions the West
now agrees upon will be what they would have done in
any case. I repeat: today’s recognition of
the LDNR will have exactly ZERO influence on the
West’s maniacal determination to destroy Russia and
her people. In other words, the coming
sanctions were unavoidable. That means that Russia
“lost” exactly *nothing* through that move. In
fact, both during the RSC meeting and his speech,
Putin hinted that, if anything, western sanctions
have been mostly beneficial to the Russian economy
(especially the real economy, not just the value of
Russian stocks or the Ruble).
Sanctions is a topic which only matters to
western politicians (and their 5th and 6th column in
Russia). Russians 1) remember that during her
history both Russia and the USSR were more or less
always under some kind of sanctions anyway and 2)
that the goal of the West is not to reach an
equilibrium with Russia, but to subjugate and
destroy her (Putin himself said so many years ago).
In this context, the endless focus on sanctions
(from hell or otherwise) is not only immoral, it is
plain stupid.
Next, I want to mention four specific
threats made by Putin today (note, since
the PR folks at the Kremlin are still working at
their usual snail’s pace, I will have to make them
by memory, please keep that in mind):
- Those responsible for the massacre in Odessa
will be punished by Russia.
- Putin is demanding an immediate cessation of
the shelling and shooting along the LOC.
- Russia will physically prevent the Ukraine
from US/NATO deploying offensive weapons to
threaten Russia.
- Russia will show Banderastan how to organize
a *real* “decommunization” (after indicating
that the Ukraine was created by the CPSU).
Again, I will repeat here what I wrote above:
this recognition should NOT, repeat, NOT, be
seen in isolation. It is just
ONE PHASE in a PROCESS
which began at least a year ago, or more, and there
is much more to come.
Unless the Ukies get it – and they probably won’t
– I fully expect Russia to openly extend here
“military umbrella” over the LDNR. That does not
mean that she will have to move troops in, though
that now is also a possibility, but that any future
Ukie ground operation will be countered by the full
might of the Russian military. Officially this
time. The Ukros along the LOC have heard it from
Putin’s own mouth: we got a crosshairs on each
one of you. While I wouldn’t put *anything*
beyond the Ukros, I believe that today’s clear
threat will have a strong deterrent effect, whether
the Ukies admit it (not gonna happen) or not.
After listening to it all, I still have a few
questions to which I did not get a reply yet:
- In what exact borders does Russia recognize
the LNR and DNR? Along the LOC or along their
original administrative borders? (see map). I
strongly suspect that for a while Russia will
keep a flou artistique on this topic,
but what Putin meant was a recognition of the
LDNR in their original administrative borders.
If I am correct, this ALSO means that Russia
will not liberate the rest of Banderastan, which
I also fully approve of: the Ukrainians need to
liberate themselves for once, enough of that
constant waiting for the Moskals to liberate
them from their “western friends”!
- Putin mentioned the immense sums of money
Russia has poured into the Ukraine even after it
turned into Banderastan. Will Russia *finally*
impose an economic embargo on that Nazi state?
- The DNR/LNR having just been recognized,
they are not members of the CSTO. Not only
that, but I very much doubt that all the members
of the CSTO will recognize the LDNR anytime
soon. So if there is the need to launch a
“coercion to peace” operation, will Russia act
unilaterally, maybe with Belarus, or will she
try to get some kind of joint operation with
other countries?
This just in: the Russian MoD has
announced that it received the order to
provide/ensure the safety/security of the LDNR!
That means a peace enforcement (coercion to
peace) has been ordered!
Some will be tempted to focus on what the western
politicians will say or do next. I sure have no
idea which they might or might not do next, but I
would advise them to be extremely careful, because
the mood in Russia is determined. If anybody still
believes that Putin is bluffing, then wish them good
luck because the best they can hope for is a quick,
painless, death.
For the US Americans everything is measured in
Dollars. For Europeans, everything is measured by
Euros. During WWII Russia lost 27 million of her
own people, two thirds of them civilians, as for the
Chinese, they lost a whopping 35 million. These are
countries and nations which will not be broken, or
purchased, by Dollars or Euros.
Then there is this: if the West slaps “sanctions
from hell” on Russia, what will the leaders of the
West do the day AFTER they impose such sanctions?
The truth that the West is already
“out-sanctioned”. But let’s assume that there will
be even more sanctions. From hell, no less. Then
what?
Nothing, of course.
Russia has already long turned away from the
West, not only culturally but also economically
(Mishustin confirmed that today). If the EU wants
to commit economic seppuku – that’s fine by
Russia. The Kremlin is quite willing to turn up the
pain dial, but if western leaders want to increase
the pain dial on each other (the US dialing up
economic pain for the EU), by all means, Russia
won’t object.
As always, I suggest that we not jump to any
further conclusions too quickly: let’s wait for the
full, official transcripts, then the statements of
key politicians (who will be tasked with
implementing/interpreting these statements). In
this situation, words matter (at least those of
Russian officials).
I will conclude by a warning: I fully
expect the CIA/MI6 agents in Russia (5th column:
liberals; 6th column: emo-Marxists and
pseudo-patriots) to unleash a MAJOR PSYOP offensive
against Putin personally and this decision.
Arguments will include anything and everything in
between “not enough” and “too much” including the
inevitable “too little too late”. If there is one
thing you need to know about both the 5th and 6th
columns in Russia is that for them any success by
Putin (or even while Putin is in power) is
categorically unacceptable and must be denied at all
costs. So while they claim to hate each other, they
really hate Putin much more. In fact, they hate
Putin much, much more than they love Russia.
I strongly urge all the readers to always
think cui bono when you will hear their
endless defeatist wailing!
Okay, I will end it here: let’s see what happens
next.
Andrei
http://thesaker.is/russia-recognition-of-the-ldnr-a-few-initial-thoughts/
Have you seen "Help Tom with medical
expenses to fight leukemia"?
I
thought you might be interested in
supporting this GoFundMe,
https://gofund.me/8b902e5a
More
details here
Please share the
fundraiser on your social media to
help spread the word.
|
The views expressed in this article are
solely those of the author and do not necessarily
reflect the opinions of Information Clearing House.
Reader financed- No
Advertising - No Government Grants -
No Algorithm - This
Is Independent
Registration is not necessary to post comments.
We ask only that you do not use obscene or offensive
language. Please be respectful of others.