In Moscow this week, the Chinese and
Russian leaders revealed their joint
commitment to redesign the global order,
an undertaking that has 'not been seen
in 100 years.'
By Pepe Escobar
March 24, 2023:
Information Clearing
House
-- "The
Cradle"
- What has just taken place
in Moscow is nothing less than a new
Yalta, which, incidentally, is in
Crimea. But unlike the momentous meeting
of US President Franklin Roosevelt,
Soviet Leader Joseph Stalin, and British
Prime Minister Winston Churchill in
USSR-run Crimea in 1945, this is the
first time in arguably five centuries
that no political leader from the west
is setting the global agenda.
It’s Chinese President Xi Jinping and
Russian President Vladimir Putin that
are now running the multilateral,
multipolar show. Western exceptionalists
may deploy their crybaby routines as
much as they want: nothing will change
the spectacular optics, and the
underlying substance of this developing
world order, especially for the Global
South.
What Xi and Putin are setting out to
do was explained in detail before their
summit, in two Op-Eds penned by the
presidents themselves. Like a
highly-synchronized Russian ballet,
Putin’s vision was laid
out in the People’s Daily
in China, focusing on a “future-bound
partnership,” while Xi’s was published
in the Russian Gazette and the
RIA Novosti website, focusing
on a new chapter in cooperation and
common development.
Right from the start of the summit,
the speeches by both Xi and Putin drove
the NATO crowd into a hysterical frenzy
of anger and envy: Russian Foreign
Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova
perfectly captured the mood when she
remarked that the west was “foaming at
the mouth.”
The front page of the Russian
Gazette on Monday was iconic: Putin
touring Nazi-free Mariupol, chatting
with residents, side by side with Xi’s
Op-Ed. That was, in a nutshell, Moscow’s
terse response to Washington’s MQ-9
Reaper
stunt and the International Criminal
Court (ICC) kangaroo court
shenanigans. “Foam at the mouth” as
much as you like; NATO is in the process
of being thoroughly humiliated in
Ukraine.
During their first “informal”
meeting, Xi and Putin talked for no less
than four and a half hours. At the end,
Putin personally escorted Xi to his
limo. This conversation was the real
deal: mapping out the lineaments of
multipolarity – which starts with a
solution for Ukraine.
Predictably, there were very few
leaks from the sherpas, but there was
quite a significant one on their
“in-depth exchange” on Ukraine. Putin
politely stressed he respects China’s
position – expressed in Beijing’s
12-point conflict resolution plan, which
has been completely rejected by
Washington. But the Russian position
remains ironclad: demilitarization,
Ukrainian neutrality, and enshrining the
new facts on the ground.
In parallel, the Russian Foreign
Ministry completely ruled out a role for
the US, UK, France, and Germany in
future Ukraine negotiations: they are
not considered neutral mediators.
A multipolar patchwork quilt
The next day was all about business:
everything from energy and
“military-technical” cooperation to
improving the efficacy of trade and
economic corridors running through
Eurasia.
Russia already ranks first as a
natural gas supplier to China
– surpassing Turkmenistan and Qatar
– most of it via the 3,000 km Power of
Siberia pipeline that runs from Siberia
to China’s northeastern Heilongjiang
province, launched in December 2019.
Negotiations on the Power of Siberia II
pipeline via Mongolia are advancing
fast.
Sino-Russian cooperation in high-tech
will go through the roof: 79 projects at
over $165 billion. Everything from
liquified natural gas (LNG) to aircraft
construction, machine tool construction,
space research, agro-industry, and
upgraded economic corridors.
The Chinese president explicitly said
he wants to link the New Silk Road
projects to the Eurasia Economic Union
(EAEU). This BRI-EAEU interpolation is a
natural evolution. China has already
signed an economic cooperation deal with
the EAEU. Russian macroeconomic
uber-strategist
Sergey Glazyev’s ideas are finally
bearing fruit.
And last but not least, there will be
a new drive towards mutual settlements
in national currencies – and between
Asia and Africa, and Latin America. For
all practical purposes, Putin endorsed
the role of the Chinese yuan as the new
trade currency of choice while the
complex discussions on a
new reserve currency backed by gold
and/or commodities proceed.
This joint economic/business
offensive ties in with the concerted
Russia-China diplomatic offensive to
remake vast swathes of West Asia and
Africa.
Chinese diplomacy works like the matryoshka (Russian
stacking dolls) in terms of delivering
subtle messages. It’s far from
coincidental that Xi’s trip to Moscow
exactly coincides with the 20th
anniversary of American ‘Shock and Awe’
and the illegal invasion, occupation,
and destruction of Iraq.
In parallel, over 40 delegations from
Africa arrived in Moscow a day before Xi
to take part in a “Russia-Africa in the
Multipolar World” parliamentary
conference – a run-up to the second
Russia-Africa summit next July.
The area surrounding the Duma looked
just like the old Non-Aligned Movement
(NAM) days when most of Africa kept very
close anti-imperialist relations with
the USSR.
Putin chose
this exact moment to write off more than
$20 billion in African debt.
In West
Asia, Russia-China are acting totally in
synch. West Asia. The
Saudi-Iran rapprochement was
actually jump-started by Russia in
Baghdad and Oman: it was these
negotiations that led to the signing of
the deal in Beijing. Moscow is also
coordinating the Syria-Turkiye
rapprochement discussions. Russian
diplomacy with Iran – now under
strategic partnership status – is kept
on a separate track.
Diplomatic sources confirm that
Chinese intelligence, via its own
investigations, is now fully assured of
Putin’s vast popularity across Russia,
and even within the country’s political
elites. That means conspiracies of the
regime-change variety are out of the
question. This was fundamental for Xi
and the Zhongnanhai’s (China’s central
HQ for party and state officials)
decision to “bet” on Putin as a trusted
partner in the coming years, considering
he may run and win the next presidential
elections. China is always about
continuity.
So the Xi-Putin summit definitively
sealed China-Russia as comprehensive
strategic partners for the long haul,
committed to developing serious
geopolitical and geoeconomic competition
with declining western hegemons.
This is the new world born in Moscow
this week. Putin previously defined it
as a new anti-colonial policy. It’s now
laid out as a multipolar patchwork
quilt. There’s no turning back on the
demolition of the remnants of Pax
Americana.
‘Changes that haven’t
happened in 100 years’
In Before European Hegemony: The
World System A.D. 1250-1350, Janet
Abu-Lughod built a carefully constructed
narrative showing the prevailing
multipolar order when the West “lagged
behind the ‘Orient.’” Later, the West
only “pulled ahead because the ‘Orient’
was temporarily in disarray.”
We may be witnessing a similarly
historic shift in the making, trespassed
by a revival of Confucianism (respect
for authority, emphasis on social
harmony), the equilibrium inherent to
the Tao, and the spiritual power of
Eastern Orthodoxy. This is, indeed, a
civilizational fight.
Moscow, finally welcoming the first
sunny days of Spring, provided this week
a larger-than-life illustration of
“weeks where decades happen” compared to
“decades where nothing happens.”
The two presidents bid farewell in a
poignant manner.
Xi: “Now, there are changes that
haven’t happened in 100 years. When we
are together, we drive these changes.”
Putin: “I agree.”
Xi: “Take care, dear friend.”
Putin: “Have a safe trip.”
Here’s to a new day dawning, from the
lands of the Rising Sun to the Eurasian
steppes.