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.  Bush
Approves Nuclear Response
By
Nicholas Kralev
A classified document signed by President Bush
specifically allows for the use of nuclear weapons in response to
biological or chemical attacks, apparently changing a decades-old U.S.
policy of deliberate ambiguity, it was learned by The Washington Times.
"The United States will continue to make clear that
it reserves the right to respond with overwhelming force — including
potentially nuclear weapons — to the use of [weapons of mass
destruction] against the United States, our forces abroad, and friends and
allies," the document, National Security Presidential Directive 17,
set out on Sept. 14 last year.
A similar statement is included in the
public version of the directive, which was released Dec. 11 as the
National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction and closely
parallels the classified document. However, instead of the phrase
"including potentially nuclear weapons," the public text says,
"including through resort to all of our options."
A White House spokesman declined to comment
when asked about the document last night and neither confirmed nor denied
its existence.
A senior administration official said,
however, that using the words "nuclear weapons" in the
classified text gives the military and other officials, who are the
document's intended audience, "a little more of an instruction to
prepare all sorts of options for the president," if need be.
The official, nonetheless, insisted that
ambiguity remains "the heart and soul of our nuclear policy."
In the classified version, nuclear forces
are designated as the main part of any U.S. deterrent, and conventional
capabilities "complement" the nuclear weapons.
"Nuclear forces alone ... cannot ensure
deterrence against [weapons of mass destruction] and missiles," the
original paragraph says. "Complementing nuclear force with an
appropriate mix of conventional response and defense capabilities, coupled
with effective intelligence, surveillance, interdiction and domestic
law-enforcement capabilities, reinforces our overall deterrent posture
against [weapons of mass destruction] threats."
Before it released the text publicly, the
White House changed that same paragraph to: "In addition to our
conventional and nuclear response and defense capabilities, our overall
deterrent posture against [weapons of mass destruction] threats is
reinforced by effective intelligence, surveillance, interdiction and
domestic law-enforcement capabilities."
The classified document, a copy of which was
shown to The Washington Times, is known better by its abbreviation NSPD
17, as well as Homeland Security Presidential Directive 4.
The disclosure of the classified text
follows newspaper reports that the planning for a war with Iraq focuses on
using nuclear arms not only to defend U.S. forces but also to
"pre-empt" deeply buried Iraqi facilities that could withstand
conventional explosives.
For decades, the U.S. government has
maintained a deliberately vague nuclear policy, expressed in such language
as "all options open" and "not ruling anything in or
out." As recently as last weekend, Bush administration officials used
similar statements in public, consciously avoiding the word
"nuclear."
"I'm not going to put anything on the
table or off the table," White House Chief of Staff Andrew H. Card
Jr. said on NBC's "Meet the Press," adding that the United
States will use "whatever means necessary" to protect its
citizens and the world from a "holocaust."
But in the paragraphs marked "S"
for "secret," the Sept. 14 directive clearly states that nuclear
weapons are part of the "overwhelming force" that Washington
might use in response to a chemical or biological attack.
Former U.S. officials and arms control
experts with knowledge of policies of the previous administrations
declined to say whether such specific language had been used before, for
fear of divulging classified information. But they conceded that
differences exist.
"This shows that there is a somewhat
greater willingness in this administration to use a nuclear response to
other [non-nuclear weapons of mass destruction] attacks, although that's
not a wholesale departure from previous administrations," one former
senior official said.
Even a slight change can make a big
difference. Because it is now "official policy, it means that the
United States will actively consider the nuclear option" in a
military conflict, said Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms
Control Association.
"This document is far more explicit
about the use of nuclear weapons to deter and possibly defeat biological
and chemical attacks," he said. "If someone dismisses it, that
would question the entire logic of the administration's national security
strategy against [weapons of mass destruction]."
Mr. Kimball said U.S. nuclear weapons
"should only be used to deter nuclear attacks by others."
A senior official who served in the Clinton
administration said there would still have to be a new evaluation before
any decision was made on the use of nuclear weapons.
"What this document means is that they
have thought through the consequences, including in the abstract, but it
doesn't necessarily prejudge any specific case."
Baker Spring, a national security fellow at
the Heritage Foundation, said the classified language "does not
undermine the basic posture of the deterrent and does not commit the
United States to a nuclear response in hypothetical circumstances. In a
classified document, you are willing to be more specific what the policy
is, because people in the administration have to understand it for
planning purposes."
Both former officials and arms control
analysts say that making the classified text public might raise concerns
among Washington's allies but has little military significance. On the
other hand, they note, the nuclear deterrent has little value if a
potential adversary does not know what it can expect.
They agree that there must have been
"good reasons" for the White House to have "cleaned
up" the document before releasing it. They speculated on at least
three:
Although responding to a non-nuclear attack
by nuclear weapons is not banned by international law, existing
arms-control treaties call for a "proportionate response" to
biological and chemical attacks. The question is, one former official
said, whether any nuclear response is proportionate to any non-nuclear
attack.
Second, naming nuclear weapons specifically
flies in the face of the "negative security assurances" that
U.S. administrations have given for 25 years. Those statements, while
somewhat modified under different presidents, essentially have said the
United States will not use nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear state
unless that state attacks it together with a nuclear ally.
Finally, publicly and explicitly
articulating a policy of nuclear response can hurt the international
nonproliferation regime, which the United States firmly supports. That
sets a bad example for countries such as India and Pakistan and gives
rogue states an incentive to develop their own nuclear capabilities.
William M. Arkin, a military analyst, wrote
in the Los Angeles Times earlier this week that the Bush administration's
war planning "moves nuclear weapons out of their long-established
special category and lumps them in with all the other military
options."
Mr. Arkin quoted "multiple
sources" close to the preparations for a war in Iraq as saying that
the focus is on "two possible roles for nuclear weapons: attacking
Iraqi facilities located so deep underground that they might be impervious
to conventional explosives; and thwarting Iraq's use of weapons of mass
destruction."
He cited a Dec. 11 memorandum from Defense
Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld to Mr. Bush, asking for authority to place
Adm. James O. Ellis Jr., chief of the U.S. Strategic Command, in charge of
the full range of "strategic" warfare options.
NSPD 17 appears to have upgraded nuclear
weapons beyond the traditional function as a nuclear deterrent.
"This is an interesting
distinction," Mr. Spring said. "There is an acknowledgment up
front that under the post-Cold War circumstances, deterrence in the sense
we applied it during the Cold War is not as reliable. I think it's
accurate." © 1999-2003 News World Communications, Inc


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