Not One Drop
“Americans should not expect one battle, but a lengthy campaign,
unlike any other we have ever seen…Every nation, in every
region, now has a decision to make. Either you are with us, or
you are with the terrorists
” George Bush
By Mike Whitney
-- -- George Bush has no intention of obeying
international law or following the United Nation’s rules. After
his Iran resolution fails in the Security Council, he’ll resume
his belligerence while trying to cobble together a coalition for
sanctions. The media has already begun the disinformation
campaign; stressing the “serious concerns” of the international
community about Iran’s nuclear programs.
It is 100% bunkum.
The “international community” has never cared a whit about Iran
or its fictitious weapons programs. The driving force behind the
hostilities is Washington. Even Bush’s allies on the Security
Council (Germany, France and England) know the whole thing is a
sham intended to elicit public support for a war.
Do they think we were born yesterday?
No one knows why the Europeans have allowed themselves to be
manipulated by Bush. Whatever the reason may be, they’ve cast
their lot with the damned. They may think they’re avoiding a
conflict by placating Bush, but their brinksmanship has brought
the Middle East one step closer to a regional holocaust.
The Bush resolution is a complete joke and an insult to the
notion that every country deserves to be treated equally under
the law. It requires Iran to “suspend all enrichment-related and
reprocessing activities, including research and development” and
it demands that Iran accept an “Additional Protocol and
transparency measures” which make the Nuclear Nonproliferation
Treaty (NPT) meaningless.
Washington has rewritten the treaty completely and expects Iran
to submissively sign on the dotted line.
Iran has not been found to be in violation of its treaty rights
or in “noncompliance”. They’ve undergone the most extensive 3
year inspection-regime in the history of the IAEA.
The real reason Iran has been unfairly singled out is because
they’ve committed the inexcusable crime of controlling their own
resources. This makes them a potential threat to Israel’s
ever-expanding territorial ambitions and America’s insatiable
thirst for oil. The nuclear issue is a red herring with no merit
The resolution is going nowhere. The world is already sick of
Bush’s war-mongering and neither Russia nor China will endorse
this new provocation. It has no chance of passing the Security
Council even though the wording was intentionally toned-down and
contains neither threats nor sanctions.
The White House, of course, anticipated opposition at the UN.
Now, they can begin their campaign to discredit the Security
Council deriding it as “irrelevant” while preparing for a
unilateral attack. The media will invoke the same stale slanders
they used before the war on Iraq maximizing the fear of a
Already in Iran?
There’ve been numerous reports ( Sy Hersh, Scott Ritter and Col.
Sam Gardiner) that US forces are already inside Iran executing
covert operations and locating sites for future US bombing
raids. If this is true, we can assume that the logistical
groundwork of moving troops and supplies to the region is
already underway making war inevitable.
But Iran is not Iraq. Bush is making a colossal miscalculation
that could dramatically reshape the global power-structure.
That’s why core members of the American ruling-elite, like
Brzezinski, Albright, Odom and Holbrook, have all spoken out
against any plan of attack. These are not limp-wristed liberals
who hesitate to use military force if America’s interests are at
stake. These are hard-edged Machiavellians skilled in the
bare-knuckle methods of maintaining the empire. Brzezinski is so
alarmed that he’s composed more articles lately than Tom
Friedman. In a recent article he stated:
"An attack on Iran would be an act of political folly, setting
in motion a progressive upheaval in world affairs. With the U.S.
increasingly the object of widespread hostility, the era of
American preponderance could even come to a premature end."
Zbigniew Brzezinski, "Been There, Done That,"
Bush’s blinkered strategy for Iran portends tragedy and,
potentially, a global realignment of states opposed to America.
Not One Drop
A great deal has been written about what may happen if Bush goes
ahead with his war on Iran. How will Iran respond? Will they
retaliate? Will they fire their Russian-made missiles at
America’s fleet in the Mediterranean? Will they bomb the Green
Zone or launch their Shahab missiles at Tel Aviv? Will this
result in a quick escalation triggering nuclear retaliation by
the United States?
I don’t believe that the war with Iran will unfold as the
prognosticators have predicted.
America has long been Iran’s primary nemesis. Ever since the CIA
toppled the democratically-elected Mossadegh and replaced him
with brutal Shah; Iran’s antipathy for the “Great Satan” has
been justifiably strong. The Mullahs war plan will emerge from
the “cauldron of animosities” that has been brewing for over 30
years. People in the Middle East have long memories; 25 years of
oppression beneath the boot-heel of an American stooge is not
easily forgotten. The US trained the notorious Savak, the Shah’s
despised security apparatus. They also protected the murderous
Peacock Regent from extradition when he was finally toppled
during the revolution. The Iranian people have suffered greatly
at the hands of western imperialists who only show up
periodically to pilfer their resources. Iran’s battle-plans will
undoubtedly reflect their resolve to finally prevail over their
Am I wrong?
Americans foolishly believe they have nothing to fear from Iran.
They are mistaken. Iran will turn the war into a generation-long
crusade that will transform the global-dynamic leaving the US
without allies and without the ability secure the energy it
needs to keep its economy running.
Iran’s strategy will focus on one basic principle: Not one drop.
“Not one drop” means that Iran will plan to disrupt or destroy
American oil installations, pipelines, platforms and shipping
wherever and whenever it can; a global resource war directed at
This strategy has already materialized in Iraq, Nigeria and
(soon) Sudan. In fact, this seems to be the war that Bush and
Cheney wanted since they are its original architects.
It would be foolish for Iran to fight America on its own terms.
Modern warfare is guerilla warfare writ large. Firing missiles
at American soldiers in Iraq accomplishes nothing; taking out
Saudi Arabia’s main oil-distribution platform changes the world
The world oil market is already as jittery as anyone can
remember. Every time a Kalashnikov-wielding dissident in Nigeria
takes out a pipeline, oil futures shoot through the roof.
Imagine pipelines and refineries lighting up the night sky
across the planet on a daily basis; sending oil skyrocketing to
$350 per barrel and grinding the world economy to a standstill?
Not one drop!
Bush and Cheney unwisely believe that an attack on Iran will be
a straightforward affair that will surgically remove weapons
sites, radar installations, communications facilities, armories,
missile silos, and parts of the civilian infrastructure.
In other words, another “cakewalk”.
Iran will mobilize according to traditional military doctrine by
attempting to “destroy the enemy’s ability to wage war”;
severing America’s oil life-line wherever it may be.
As soon as Bush launches aircraft over Tehran, government
officials will convene in foreign Capitals across the world
forming new alliances that will be the death-knell for the
Russia, China, Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela and Iran will form a
new block of rising stars that will align against Washington and
When the first bomb drops, oil-laden ships from Venezuela will
change course and head back to port. Chavez will act
preemptively realizing that he is next on Washington’s hit-list.
There will be a steep and sudden sell-off of the American
greenback sending the dollar plummeting and markets gyrating
And, of course, the Straits of Hormuz, through which 40% of the
world’s oil flows every day, will be shut down.
With oil depots smoldering in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Abu Dhabi,
Iraq and Iran, the Washington warlords and their clients in
Israel may or may not rethink the wisdom of their adventure.
After all, Bush might welcome the hellfire as fulfillment of his
One thing is certain, however, America will not win an
asymmetrical war with Iran, and it could very well be the
This war can be avoided. It is not too late to pull back from
Otherwise, we should expect “Not one drop”.
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