The Crime of Lebanon and Palestine
Are Iran and Syria Next?
By Stephen Lendman
07/24/06 "Information
Clearing House" -- -- By any interpretation of international law, Israel today is
committing massive and egregious war crimes and crimes against
humanity against the defenseless people of Palestine and Lebanon.
It's doing it with the full support and encouragement of the US and
willful compliance of the West, most of the Arab world, the UN and
the dominant corporate media worldwide acting as cheerleaders for
the mass killing, crippling destruction, and immiseration of
innocent civilians in Lebanon and the Palestinian Occupied
Territories. Israel falsely claims its duel assaults are in response
to Hamas' capture of an Israel Defense Forces (IDF) soldier near
Kerem Shalom crossing, southeast of Rafah, on June 25 and
Hezbollah's cross-border incursion on July 12, killing eight IDF
soldiers in the exchange that followed and taking two others
prisoner.
The three soldiers were captured, not "kidnapped" as falsely
reported. But nearly 10,000 Palestinian and Lebanese civilians were
forcibly abducted, are now held in indefinite detention in Israeli
prisons, many administratively without charge, and are grievously
abused or tortured according to Amnesty International and B'Tselem,
the Israeli human rights monitoring group. Amnesty, in fact,
reported in 1998: "By Israel's own admission, Lebanese detainees are
being held as 'bargaining chips;' they are not detained for their
own actions but in exchange for Israeli soldiers missing in action
or killed in Lebanon (during the Israeli occupation there). Most
have now spent 10 years in secret and isolated detention (and many
are still there or have been replaced by other abductees)." The
"civilized world" rails about the three IDF prisoners of war, yet is
unconcerned about
10,000 Arab victims because they're Muslims, not white enough, and
no criticism of Israel is allowed or tolerated publicly for whatever
it does. Still, no nation claimed it had a right to declare war on
Israel to free its prisoners unjustifiably held nor would the world
community tolerate it if one did.
But that's just what Israel did and is getting away with it with the
full support of the US and world community. Clearly the events of
June 25 and July 12 in no way justify Israel's right to wage all out
retaliatory war, and in doing it Israel is grievously violating
international laws and norms. Nonetheless, it's known Israel planned
to wage them long before it got the pretexts to do it. Both "wars"
were planned well in advance, Israel intended to wage them all along
and only needed an excuse to do it in each case. Had not Hamas and
Hezbollah obliged (insignificant as their provocations were), Israel
would have "manufactured" pretexts as it's done in the past to
execute the plans it had in mind. The result since has been the mass
suffering and death of innocent men, women and children (in numbers
far greater than reported as they always are) who always pay the
greatest price when conflicts begin.
But that's part of Israel's plan as their strategy is always to
deliberately inflict great pain on the civilian population of its
targets hoping the people affected will blame their ruling
authorities for it and turn against them. In Palestine and Lebanon
that means Hamas and Hezbollah that Israel intends making every
effort to destroy. The strategy never worked before, and it won't
now as evidenced by how events are now unfolding. Instead of turning
the people in the Occupied Territories and South Lebanon against
Hamas and Hezbollah, both these authorities are gaining support in
response to Israel's extreme and unjustifiable reign of terror that
eventually will come back to haunt it and its US ally as it always
does.
Israel's Plan Is to Wage a Scorched-Earth Reign of Terror Similar to
What the US Is Doing in Iraq
Israel responded quickly and overwhelmingly to the Hamas and
Hezbollah provocations. It initiated "Operation Summer Rain" against
Hamas and the Palestinians and "Operation Change of Direction"
against Hezbollah and the people of Lebanon. Both IDF assaults
continue unabated so far through intensive attacks from the air and
on the ground.
It's not the purpose of this article to document the carnage
inflicted thus far in each conflict area. It's been brutal,
unrelenting and excessive involving suspected use of illegal weapons
including chemical agents, depleted uranium (DU) munitions that will
leave deadly irremediable toxic radiation forever over the areas
struck and beyond, and white phosphorous bombs and shells, known as
Willy Pete, that burn flesh to the bone and can't be extinguished by
water that only makes it worse when used. The IDF is also reportedly
testing in real time some new terror weapons, possibly for the first
time. One of them is a thermobaric bomb reported being used freely
across Lebanon. This bomb contains polymer-bonded or solid fuel-air
explosives in its payload. It also has a fuse munition unit (FMU)
used on the nose of Israeli artillery shells able to penetrate
buildings, underground shelters and tunnels creating such a blast
pressure that all the oxygen is sucked out from the spaces and the
lungs of anyone in the vicinity. The Lebanese, and likely the
Palestinians as well, are their lab rats with consequences to them
too horrible to imagine.
Much of this is being well covered daily with graphic pictures of
destroyed bodies (including of young children) in the alternative
media online, in print, on Aljazeera and in other independent media
sources uncorrupted by their governments or corporate affiliations.
Sadly, as usual, it's impossible to have any understanding of what's
going on or why through the US corporate media, so-called US
National Public Radio and TV that have sunk as low as Fox News in
their corrupted one-sidedness, and the "vaunted" and "venerable" BBC
that's about as bad. As it always is, especially in time of war, the
first casualty is truth that's being suppressed in the mainstream
and replaced with Israel and US-friendly propaganda.
Nonetheless, those seeking alternative sources of news and
information to learn and understand the truth know that Israel's
response to two minor incursions against it has been
disproportionate in the extreme. But it's part of Israel's
long-standing strategy to provoke conflict deliberately, to get the
PLO in the past and Hamas and Hezbollah today to respond, falsely
label them "terrorists" for doing it, and then claim a justifiable
right to strike back with brute force in "self-defense" that's, in
fact, an act of aggression. It's always done to avoid a political
solution with them which Israel has no intention of accommodating
ever. In executing its current plan, the IDF has now maliciously and
willfully attacked innocent civilians in Palestine and Lebanon and
created a humanitarian disaster in both countries. The world
response to these atrocities has been tepid, shameless and
disgraceful, and hundreds of thousands of defenseless people are
paying a dreadful price as a consequence. Israel is being allowed
and even encouraged to get away with murder and mass destruction,
and most world governments through their acquiescence are, de facto,
willing co-conspirators. As a result, nothing is being done to help
the innocent victims whose suffering continues daily with no letup.
Israel's assaults on the Occupied Territories and Lebanon were
planned well in advance with the full knowledge and approval of the
US. It was reported earlier this year in Israel's Maariv daily that
the events now underway in Gaza and the West Bank were in the works
for months. It was explained in an interview the paper did with IDF
Southern Command General Yoav Galant, responsible for Gaza, who said
that "we (Israel) have a plan to (re) occupy the Strip" (and) "We
are in advanced states of preparing forces for readiness" to do it
in response to "increased (Palestinian) attacks." Another IDF
official confirmed what the general said and added that the IDF
completed its training to reenter Gaza and informed its soldiers to
prepare and be ready for orders to move in. Neither the general or
other IDF official explained, however, that the Palestinian
"attacks" were with crude weapons and only in response to Israel's
daily assaults against them with the most sophisticated weapons the
IDF has other than its nuclear ones.
The story in Lebanon is very similar and the predictable outcome
from Hezbollah's justifiable responses to Israeli instigated
intermittent conflict, cross-border incursions, freewheeling
abductions, and repeated violations of the country's airspace. It's
brought us to where we are now and Israel's plan and intent to
destroy Hezbollah as a political entity as well as the military
strength it's built up since the IDF withdrew from South Lebanon six
years ago.
Hezbollah publicly admitted receiving military aid from Iran and
Syria in the Arab press, and the Syrian defense minister confirmed
his country helped supply some of it. This was just reported on July
21 by Matthew Kallman of the San Francisco Chronicle Foreign Service
- a most unexpected venue. Kallman quotes Israeli professor Gerald
Steinberg of Bar-Ilan University who said: "In a sense, the
preparation (for the Lebanon assault) began in May, 2000,
immediately after the Israeli withdrawal, when it became clear the
international community was not going to prevent Hezbollah from
stockpiling missiles and attacking Israel. By 2004, the military
campaign scheduled to last about three weeks that we're seeing now
had already been blocked out and, in the last year or two, it's been
simulated and rehearsed across the board." The professor forgot to
mention that Hezbollah attacks were justifiable and in response to
frequent Israeli cross-border ones against them, the Lebanese people
and the Palestinians, as explained above. It's called self-defense,
but not by the Western media or this Israeli professor.
Kallman reported further that over a year ago a senior Israeli IDF
officer (unidentified) began giving "PowerPoint presentations" off
the record to US and other officials and unnamed journalists and
think tanks explaining the plan now underway "in revealing detail."
The officer described a three week campaign to destroy Hezbollah's
"long-range missiles," rocket launchers and weapons stores, its
command and control centers, and disrupt transportation and
communication in the country. He said IDF ground forces in large
numbers would then invade Southern Lebanon in the third week of the
campaign to destroy targets identified through reconnaissance but
not to remain on a long-term basis. It turned out the IDF did it
after
10 days and are now in the south of the country.
Kallman also quoted Eran Lerman, a former colonel in IDF
intelligence who said the Israeli military debated how to accomplish
what it's now undertaken. There were two sides. "One is the air
power school of thought, the other is the land-borne option......the
air force concept is very methodical....and slower to get results. A
ground invasion that sweeps Hezbollah in front of you is quicker,
but at a much higher cost in human life and requiring the creation
of a presence on the ground." Moshe Marzuk, former head of the
Lebanon desk for Israeli Military Intelligence, added "Israel has
learned from past conflicts in Lebanon, the West Bank and
Gaza.....that a traditional military campaign (on the ground) would
be counter-effective. A big invasion is not suitable here. We are
not fighting an army, but guerrillas.....If we are to be on the
ground at all, we need to use commandos and special forces." So far,
the script outlined above is playing out about as planned. But
Kallman was also told what any military observer knows well. The
best of plans don't always work out as intended which the daily
Haaretz military analyst, Daniel Ben-Simon, indicated when he said:
"I have no idea how this movie is going to end."
No one does, but it's the purpose of this article to address why
these operations were undertaken, what Israel and its US ally hope
to achieve by them, and what may follow next, hard as that may be to
know. Still, it's important to try as the danger of an expanded
conflict is possible with untold consequences should it happen.
Israel's Intent and Goals and Those of Its US Ally
The US is always fully aware well in advance of any significant
operation Israel intends to undertake. As that small but powerful
nation's paymaster and benefactor, Israel wouldn't dare under most
circumstances not keep its most valued ally fully in the loop and
most concerned about having its full compliance. That's rarely ever
a problem though as both nations share a common interest in the
Middle East. For Israel it's primarily security against potentially
hostile neighbors, its intent to assure pro-Israeli regimes in the
region, and its ability to expand its undeclared borders beyond
where they now are to wherever it's able to do it and get away with
it. Israel already controls the choicest parts of the West Bank, the
Syrian Golan Heights it captured in the
1967 war and never returned, and the 25 square kilometer Shebaa
Farms area of South Lebanon it never relinquished after seizing it
as well in the 1967 war. It's maintained its occupation of both
areas after the end of hostilities with Syria nearly 40 years ago
and its withdrawal from Lebanon in May, 2000, 22 years after it
first invaded this defenseless country.
Like Israel, the US also has a clear interest in the Middle East
that's elementary to a grade schooler with any intelligence. The
region has about half the world's acknowledged oil reserves and for
over half a century has been viewed by US officials as a treasure of
almost unimaginable strategic and economic value. That view has
prevailed at least since the historic meeting on the USS Quincy in
early 1945 near the end of WW II between Franklin Roosevelt and
Saudi King ibn Saud to begin a relationship that would later assure
US access to Saudi oil and the beginning of its dominance in the
region in return for this country's agreeing to provide security for
the monarchy.
Ever since, the US has pursued a policy to establish and support
client states in the region and to conduct hostile covert actions or
wage war to install them in nations important enough like Iraq where
they didn't exist. Despite our rhetoric concerning the Middle East
or anywhere else, this country has no interest whatever in removing
dictators or establishing democracies. It's only interest
everywhere, but especially in countries with great strategic
importance, is to have in place client states run by leaders
subservient to US wishes and aims. Independent-minded leaders like
Saddam, the Iranian Mullahs and President Mahmoud Armadinejad,
Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, and three-time democratically
elected Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, beloved by the great
majority of his people, are prime targets for regime-changing
removal by force if necessary - only because they chose to run their
countries independently of US authority. Imperial powers like the US
never tolerate that.
Israel's well-planned actions against Hamas and the Palestinians and
Hezbollah and the people of Lebanon are part of the same
regime-changing strategy. In the Occupied Territories it's to
destroy Hamas as an independent-minded political entity and replace
it with a compliant one like Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas willing to
serve Israel's interests and not those of the Palestinian people. In
South Lebanon, it's essentially the same thing - to destroy
Hezbollah as a political and resistance force, remove its resilient
threat to Israeli hegemony in the region, and replace it with an
Israel-friendly Lebanese government in full control of the country.
The Evolution of Israeli-Hamas Relations
Israel wasn't always hostile to Hamas it now views as an enemy it
intends to destroy. In the 1980s, the Israeli government lent it
support to check the growing authority and legitimacy of the PLO
that had suspended retaliatory attacks and wanted to pursue a
political solution with Israel that Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir at
the time explained Israelis would never agree to and, in fact, said
he went to war with Lebanon in 1982 to prevent. But once
established, Hamas rose in prominence largely due to its well
organized and effective social service network that provides such
essential services as food assistance, health care, education,
daycare and other charitable aid to Palestinians in great need of
them. But Hamas also has a military or resistance wing that has
engaged in attacks against Israeli soldiers and civilians in
retaliation for Israel's war of attrition against the Palestinian
people that's caused decades of immiseration with little relief or
outside support to offset it.
Because of that, Israel was horrified when the January, 2006
election didn't turn out the way it thought it had carefully
arranged and Hamas won a clear majority of the seats in the
Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC). Without the larger than life
figure of Yasser Arafat to lead it, the Palestinian people finally
rejected the dominant Fatah party and its post-Oslo history of
corruption and subservience to Israeli authority. From the start, it
was clear Israel had a single aim - to destroy Hamas as a political
entity by any means. The Ehud Olmert led Kadima government planned
it, the IDF trained in preparation for it, and it just awaited a
convenient pretext to initiate what began on June 25.
The Hezbollah Story
The Hezbollah story is quite similar. It was born out of the Israeli
invasion of Lebanon in 1982 and the oppressive occupation that
followed. Hezbollah was formed to resist the occupation, expel the
Israelis, and it remained an effective opposition force to Israel
ever since. It's major base of support is in the Southern Lebanon
Shiite region and Northern Beka'a valley it controls that's up to
one-third of the population. It's also likely supported by the
estimated 400,000 Palestinian refugees in the country who live in
overcrowded camps, struggle to achieve their basic needs, have no
legal rights, and get no government aid or protection. Hezbollah is
also a major political force and is represented by 11 lawmakers in
the Lebanese Parliament and has two government ministers in the
country's cabinet. But it also maintains a military wing as a needed
deterrent to Israeli oppression that up to now has been the only
effective force against it in the region. That's why Israel's aim
has always been to eliminate Hezbollah and now initiated on July 12
what looks like all out war, the reinvasion of Lebanon that followed
on July
22, and possible occupation of the country ahead if it decides
that's what's needed to achieve it. It never was able to do it
before and likely won't succeed now whatever strategy it follows.
But Israel is determined and seems intent to follow the strange and
doomed to fail policy of "always wrong but never in doubt." It won't
be any different this time, but once again Israel appears to be
repeating past mistakes and making its victims pay the harsh price
for them.
Throughout Israel's occupation of Southern Lebanon in
1980s and 90s that price was severe indeed, but Hezbollah's
committed resistance nonetheless finally succeeded in getting the
IDF to withdraw from the country in May, 2000. After 22 years of
failing to subdue a resilient South Lebanon, it's hard to believe
Israel is once again willing to try and in so doing inflict mass
death, suffering and destruction on the innocent people throughout
this country that are no match for the IDF militarily in a head-on
confrontation. But it goes unreported and undiscussed in the
mainstream that if Israel really wanted to end retaliatory attacks
against its territory and people, the easy sure way to do it is to
stop provoking the Palestinians and Hezbollah by attacking them
first. The fact that it hasn't done it shows it won't and doesn't
want to because in a state of peace and calm it would be unable to
avoid the political solution it never intends to negotiate in good
faith.
Israel instead prefers to continue the policy it began against
Lebanon in 1968 when the IDF conducted terror raids and military
aggression against the country that included attacking the Beirut
airport and destroying
13 civilian planes on the ground claiming it was in retaliation for
an attack by Lebanese trained Palestinians targeting an Israeli
airliner in Athens. IDF incursions into Lebanon continued in the
1970s against the PLO including the major invasion into Southern
Lebanon, the "Litani River Operation." It was launched in March,
1978 to establish an occupation zone that Israel put the Christian
South Lebanon Army
(SLA) in place to man when it withdrew its forces weeks later.
But Israel reinvaded the country in June, 1982 in force with intent
to stay, remaining until Hezbollah forced it to withdraw in May,
2000. Before it did, however, the IDF managed to kill about 18,000
mostly innocent civilian Lebanese and Palestinians. Yet, despite the
carnage, the IDF was unable to destroy Hezbollah which resisted
effectively including against Israel's April, 1996 17 day "Operation
Grapes of Wrath" that accomplished nothing but more death and
destruction. Today, Hezbollah under its leader, Sheik Hassan
Nasrallah, is stronger than ever and is gaining support beyond its
Shiite base and near autonomy in the South in response to the
Israeli inflicted atrocities committed in the current conflict. It
now remains to watch and speculate where this conflict is heading.
The Road from Palestine and Lebanon May Lead to Iran and Syria
The US and Israeli plan may be to escalate the current Palestinian
and Lebanese conflicts and extend them to Iran and Syria. It's a
real possibility and the most serious threat at this time with all
its potentially dreadful consequences. Whether it will or won't
happen only high-level insiders in both countries know for certain,
and even they may be unsure until the current conflicts play out
further. If it's undertaken, this added escalation will have unknown
hazards for all involved combined with the increasing out-of-control
conflict in Iraq and the one in Afghanistan fast heading in the same
direction. At this time, whether the Washington neocons in charge of
things, the Pentagon and the Likudnik spin-offs in the Olmert Kadima
party are willing to risk going further is anyone's guess.
The Threat to Iran
The future is uncertain, but what is known is that a number of
reports circulated earlier this year and in
2005 that the Bush administration signed off on a "shock and awe"
nuclear attack against Iran to destroy its entirely legal commercial
nuclear program based on the unproved claim Iran is using it to
develop and produce nuclear weapons. Among other places this was
reported by journalist Seymour Hersh in the New Yorker magazine
recently. Hersh went further saying Israel has called Iran a "major
threat" that "must be stopped" from developing these weapons. In a
subsequent article Hersh then reported these plans are off the table
because of strong resistance to them inside the Pentagon. But it's
hard to believe this is so given the position of the hard-liners in
charge in Washington and Israel determined to pursue regime change
in both Iran and Syria and replace the current leaderships there
with pro-Western ones who'll dutifully serve their obedient role of
subservient client states.
Israel also has long had designs on Iran that have been known at
least since October, 2003, when the German weekly Der Spiegel
reported that the Mossad
(the country's intelligence gathering and covert action and
counterterrorism agency) had marked six Iranian nuclear facilities
as targets for an Israeli pre-emptive air strike. It added that then
Israel Prime Minister Aeriel Sharon called Iran "the greatest danger
to Israel" and Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz said "Iran calls for
Israel's annihilation (and) We must do our utmost under US guidance
to delay or eliminate the prospect of the extremist regime (in
Tehran from) securing weapons of this sort." It went on to report "a
special unit of Mossad received an order...to prepare a detailed
plan to destroy Iran's nuclear sites Mossad believes (have) reached
an advanced stage....." The completed Mossad plan was then
"delivered to the Israeli Air Force, (to) carry out the strike."
As far as we know, the US is also making plans and has since 2004
been committing hostile acts against Iran by flying unmanned aerial
surveillance drones across its airspace and has infiltrated special
forces reconnaissance teams secretly into the country "to collect
targeting data and to establish contact with anti-government ethnic
minority groups" according to Seymour Hersh in his reporting. The
Iranians are well aware of these activities and are likely doing all
they can to thwart or counteract them. They also understand quite
well what's at stake for them - that the US and Israel are planning
regime change by whatever means they think will work and are using
the falsely claimed threat of Iran's perfectly legal commercial
nuclear program as the pretext to pursue it. The rest of the world
so far seems willing to go along with this duplicitous scheme as
well as the dominant corporate media once again dutifully performing
their customary cheerleading role of support for whatever operations
the US and Israel intend to conduct, legally justified or not. The
public as usual is largely in the dark and has no idea what's going
on or what's at stake.
Target Syria - Also under Threat
Syria, along with Iran, is also part of the same apparent US -
Israeli scheme to escalate the Middle East conflict further. Both
countries are Hezbollah allies and, as mentioned above, are known to
have provided it arms, something no nation does more of than the US
and often to empower unstable, undemocratic regimes that jeopardize
global security. But that's portrayed as perfectly acceptable when
it's done by the world's only superpower and for whatever reason it
has in mind. It's another story, entirely, however, when a smaller
nation does it, especially if that country is not a US client state
and the arms it supplies goes to a source the US and its allies wish
to keep them from, even if their intended use is only for
self-defense.
Thus, while there's a vast world arms trade for legal and nefarious
purposes the public generally hears little or nothing about, it's
another story when the arms suppliers are Iran and Syria, their
transactions or aid are quite proper, but the recipients are
Hezbollah and Hamas, sworn enemies of the US and Israel. The US
claims Iran and Syria are state sponsors of terrorism and says
Hezbollah and Hamas are terrorist entities. It doesn't matter if
it's true or not, just that the US says it is to justify whatever
action it and its Israeli ally have in mind. There's now a
systematic demonization campaign under way to claim both countries
have armed Hezbollah to conduct "unprovoked terror attacks" against
Israel and thus provide justifiable cause for Israel and the US to
retaliate. Again, truth is not the issue, only what the US and
Israel say is true.
Also, in March, 2006 the UN Security Council took the unprecedented
step, aimed at Syria, of approving a resolution to establish a
hybrid tribunal for a political crime. It will consist of 2 Lebanese
and three international judges to try the killers of former Lebanese
Premier Rafik Hariri that will allow an international judgment to
take precedence over Lebanese law. From the start, the finger of
guilt was pointed at Syria, but so far there's been no evidence
uncovered to prove it.
But by unjustifiably associating Syria with the Hariri killing and
accusing it of supplying Hezbollah with arms for claimed "terror"
attacks, the US and Israel have now put the mark of Cain on this
nation making it easier to attack it. It's never hard finding a
pretext to act when there's enough determination to do it. Both the
US and Israel have had lots of practice finding them where they
exist or inventing or provoking them when they don't. The recent
Iraq "now you see 'em, now you don't" WMDs come to mind as an
invented one that destroyed a nation. Iran and Syria are quite aware
of this and are doing all they can to ward off a similar fate. Still
they know full well, if the US and/or Israel act against them
forcibly, they and their people will pay a painful price. And the
region will as well if the Arab street explodes as one or two more
countries in it go up in flames to further the imperial aims of two
rogue terrorist states allowed to go unchecked by a complicit world
community hoping to benefit from the scraps left for it in the
carnage or too timid to stand up for what's right.
What May Lie Ahead - The Potential Danger Is Great
There's much at stake in the Middle East for both the US and Israel
including the very real possibility that the duel Israeli offensives
with US support and aid may make an already impossible situation
even worse. It also seems strange to some that the most extreme
elements in the US administration, Congress and among their
influential supporters now appear to see a chance to undo or at
least ameliorate the political and military disaster the US has
suffered in Iraq and likely one ahead in Afghanistan as that country
is rapidly descending into a growing out-of-control conflict as
well. The alternative and more sensible view unheard in the
mainstream is that two or three wrong decisions don't make a right
one. But that's a consideration those in charge in the US and Israel
probably never thought of, and it's not the role of their corporate
media allies to tell them. Their job is only to report what
government officials say.
It's clear at this time of great potential danger, a lot more than
that is needed. The Arab street in the region and Muslim one around
the world may be ready to explode if two more of its states are
attacked by the US and/or Israel with support or compliance of the
West and its own leaders. It will be even more likely to happen if
nuclear weapons are used which is now planned against Iran to
destroy targeted facilities below ground. Whatever the perceived
gains may be from this aggressive adventure, the potential dangers
of undertaking it seem so daunting and the odds for ultimate success
so long, it's hard to understand why any sensible leader would risk
taking them. But it's quite possible George Bush and Ehud Olmert
intend to try. No one knows how this will play out if they do, but
the world now holds its collective breath waiting to find out.
There's no need for breath-holding to know one near-certain outcome
of this conflict and another likely one. Just as Hezbollah was born
out of the rubble of Lebanon in the 1980s, so too will one or more
new resistance groups rise out of Lebanon's carnage today and the
daily killing, destruction and intensified immiseration in
Palestine. It's a simple law of physics - Newton's Third Law that
there's no action without reaction. And it follows that the more
extreme the action, the more proportionally similar the reaction.
Israel is sure to achieve its goal to incite the continued conflict
and violence it needs to avoid the political solution it won't now
tolerate. But in the long run, this high risk strategy may prove
Israel's undoing as no nation can survive and prosper on conflict
and war without end or for just cause. Unless the Jewish state can
find a way to coexist peacefully and justly with its Palestinian
people and Arab and Persian neighbors and abandon the sure to fail
path it's now on, it's very survival is in doubt and so is that of
those it targets. Time for more breath-holding. Stay closely tuned.
Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago and can be reached at
lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net. Also visit his blog site at
sjlendman.blogspot.com.