THE
PRICE OF WAR
In a recent speech, Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich asked, “Why
does America have hundreds of billions to ruin the health and take the
lives of innocent people in Iraq but no money to provide health care for
all Americans? Why would America spend hundreds of billions to retire
Saddam Hussein, but no money to protect the retirement security of its own
people?” The citizens of New York City should be asking the same
questions.
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg presented the city’s budget in
January with a $3 billion budget gap for the next fiscal year. To deal
with this shortfall, he is calling for major belt tightening, saying that
the budget shortfalls are forcing “hardworking people to dig deeper into
their pockets.” While Bloomberg succumbs to cheap rhetoric about
sacrifices, one American institution is not tightening its belt or digging
deep into its pockets: The Pentagon.
This year President Bush will ask Congress to pass an almost $400
billion military budget, a figure six times larger than what Russia —
the world’s next biggest military power — spends. The U.S. spends 26
times more than all of our “enemies” combined: Iraq, Iran, Cuba,
Libya, North Korea, Sudan and Syria.
Even before the costs of war against Iraq are added in, the United
States spends more than one billion dollars a day on the military, while a
whole spectrum of domestic needs are severely under-funded. In New York
State, 19 percent of children live in poverty, 15 percent of citizens live
without health care and 42 percent of tenants spend more than 30 percent
of their income on rent. A recent article in The New York Times reports
that companies in New York City have eliminated 175,000 jobs in the last
two years. And the future does not look bright. Experts who write for New
York STAT, a newsletter on the city economy, advise business leaders that
“with the war in Iraq looming, along with the spike in oil prices,
businesses should continue to put off hiring.”
To this dismal economic picture, we add the costs of war in Iraq, and
additional spending on post-war occupation and rebuilding the country to
Washington’s liking. Estimates of the cost of war in Iraq range anywhere
from $48 billion to $1.6 trillion. The House Budget Committee estimated in
September 2002 that the war would cost between $48 and 93 billion and last
one or two months. They did not factor in peacekeeping and occupation,
foreign assistance, humanitarian assistance or the impact war would have
on trade or oil prices. Yale economist William Nordhouse did a more
comprehensive assessment that factored in all those variables and his
best-case scenario estimate is for a $120 billion war; worst-case scenario
is a $1.6 trillion war.
To put these enormous numbers into some perspective and highlight the
trade-offs Americans are being forced to make, I did an analysis for
Brooklyn War Resisters League on the costs of war to people in New York
City:
One day of war in Iraq = The NYC Budget deficit for FY 2003 ($1.1
billion)
1 second of war in Iraq = NYC Education budget per child ($9,736
per child per year)
Mark Twain, the great American writer and anti-imperialist, was
famous for saying, “When all you have in your toolbox are hammers,
all your problems look like nails.” In the wake of the September 11
attacks, the United States needs to expand its foreign policy toolbox
so that when crises arise, resorting to military force is the last
option, not the first. Until then, we will continue to pay the costs.
And more and more we do not pay just in dollars, tighter belts and
emptier pockets. We pay in limited freedoms, we pay in hijacked
democracy, we pay in fear of “blowback” for unjust U.S. foreign
policy, and we pay in a less secure world.
Frida Berrigan is a Senior Research Associate at the Arms Trade
Resource Center, a project of the World Policy Institute (www.worldpolicy.org/projects/arms). Join our Daily News Headlines Email Digest
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