No. 50 December 17, 1998 DOES U.S. INTERVENTION OVERSEAS BREED TERRORISM? The Historical Record by Ivan Eland Page 13 strikes were apparently intended to kill Qaddafi. According to the Defense Science Board, contrary to popular belief, the air strikes did not cause Qaddafi to shrink from using terrorism. In fact, he began a secret campaign of terrorism against the United States in retaliation for the air strikes (see the next eight entries). Before 1986 there is little evidence that Libyan agents harmed Americans. Ronald Reagan had interpreted Qaddafi's terrorism as anti-American, but Western European nations had been the major target. Begin-ning in April 1986, State Department analysts linked Libyan agents to an average of one attack per month against U.S. targets. · April 1986: In retaliation for the U.S. air strikes on Libya, an American hostage in Lebanon was sold to Libya and executed. · 1986: In retaliation for the air strikes, Libyans attempt-ed to blow up the U.S. embassy in Lomé, Togo. · September 1987: In retaliation for U.S. air strikes, Abu Nidal, working for Libya, hijacked Pan Am Flight 73 in Karachi, Pakistan. The hijacking caused the death of sever-al Americans. · April 12, 1988: A Japanese Red Army operative was arrested in New Jersey with three anti-personnel bombs that were intended for a terrorist attack on a military base in the United States. The attack was to have been timed to coin-cide with the second anniversary of the U.S. air strikes on Libya. · April 14, 1988: The Japanese Red Army, under contract from Abu Nidal, planted a bomb at the USO military club in Na-ples, Italy, to coincide with the same anniversary. The blast killed five people. · December 1988: Two Libyan intelligence agents allegedly bombed Pan Am Flight 103. The bomb killed 270 people, 200 of whom were Americans. The bombing was part of Libya's retaliation campaign for U.S. air strikes in 1986. · 1988: Libya carried out bombings of U.S. library facili-ties in Peru, Colombia, and Costa Rica. The bombings were part of Qaddafi's retaliation campaign. · September 1989: Libyans recruited a Chicago street gang to attack U.S. airliners with shoulder-fired weapons. The plot, which was foiled, was part of Libya's retaliation campaign. Page 14 · March 10, 1989: A pipe bomb exploded beneath a van owned by Sharon Rogers, wife of Will Rogers III, commander of the U.S.S. Vincennes. The bombing was related to the July 3, 1988, incident in which the Vincennes had shot down an Iranian airliner over the Persian Gulf (killing 290 civil-ians) during U.S. participation in the "tanker war" against Iran. · March 31, 1990: Four terrorists attacked a U.S. Air Force bus in Tegucigalpa, Honduras. Eight people were injured. The Moranzanist Patriotic Front claimed responsibility. The attack was most likely related to the U.S. military presence in Honduras. · May 13, 1990: New People's Army assassins fatally shot two U.S. airmen near Clark Air Base in the Philippines. The killings came on the eve of the U.S.-Philippine exploratory talks on the future of U.S. military bases in the Philip-pines. Most likely, the attack was perpetrated to protest the U.S. presence in the Philippines. · May 1990: A group of religious extremists led by Ramzi Yousef assassinated Rabbi Meir Kahane, radical leader of the Jewish Defense League in the United States. The murder was first treated as a mere homicide but was later discovered to be a part of a larger revenge campaign against U.S. foreign policy that included the World Trade Center bombing in 1993. · June 13, 1990: An American Peace Corps worker was kid-napped from his home in the Philippines. The New People's Army was responsible. The American was released unharmed on August 2 even though no ransom was paid. Coming around the time of U.S.-Philippine exploratory talks on the future of military bases in the Philippines and exactly a month after the killing of two U.S. airmen at Clark Air Base, the attack was most likely a protest against the U.S. presence in the Philippines. · January 2, 1991: A U.S. military helicopter was shot down by the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front militants (Marxist guerrillas) in San Miguel, El Salvador. The two crewmen were then killed. The crewmen were most likely targets because the United States provided military aid and advisers to the government of El Salvador. · Mid-January to late February 1991 (during the Persian Gulf War): A sharply increased number of terrorist attacks hit American targets all over the world (120 compared with 17 over the same period in 1990). Terrorism analysts labeled Page 15 those incidents "spontaneous" or "freelance" Iraqi-inspired terrorism. The following are examples of such terrorism: · In late January 1991 two incidents occurred in Adana, Turkey: A car exploded next to the U.S. consulate, and Bobbie Mozelle, an American customs official, was murdered outside a NATO air base. Dev Sol (Revolution-ary Left), a Turkish group that analysts said had no links to Iraq, claimed responsibility for the inci-dents. The group claimed that Mozelle was a Central Intelligence Agency agent and that the bombing campaign was to retaliate for the Turkish government's approval of U.S. air strikes on Iraq being launched from Turkish air bases. · During the same period of time, a bomb exploded across the street from an American Express office in Athens, Greece. U.S. involvement in the Persian Gulf War was probably the reason for the attack. · February 2, 1991: Dev Sol shot and killed a U.S. civilian contractor who worked at Incirlik Air Base in Adana, Turkey. · Dev Sol shot a U.S. Air Force officer as he entered his residence in Izmir, Turkey. · March 12, 1991: A U.S. Air Force sergeant was blown up by a remote-controlled bomb placed at the entrance of his residence in Athens, Greece. A group called "November 17" claimed responsibility. The deadliest terrorist group in Greece, November 17, attacks U.S. targets because of "Ameri-can imperialism-nationalism." The timing of the attack indicates that it was most likely related to U.S. involve-ment in the Gulf War. · March 28, 1991: Three U.S. Marines were shot by an Arab while driving near Jubial, Saudi Arabia. The incident was most likely related to U.S. involvement in the Persian Gulf War or the continued U.S. presence in Saudi Arabia. · October 28, 1991: The Turkish Islamic Jihad claimed re-sponsibility for a car bomb that killed a U.S. Air Force sergeant. Like the other incidents in Turkey around that time, the bombing was probably related to U.S. use of Turk-ish air bases during the Gulf War. · June 10, 1992: A U.S. Army vehicle traveling between Panama City and Colón, Panama, was raked with gunfire. The driver was killed and a passenger and a nearby civilian Page 16 bystander were wounded. The incident was most likely relat-ed to the U.S. military presence in Panama and U.S. control of the Panama Canal Zone. · October 12, 1992: A U.S. soldier serving with the United Nations in Umm Qasr, Iraq, was stabbed and wounded. Most likely, the stabbing was in retaliation for U.S. interven-tion in Iraq. · December 29, 1992: An explosion occurred at the Gold Mihor Hotel in Aden, Yemen. About 100 U.S. soldiers, part of Operation Restore Hope in Somalia, had been staying in Aden since mid-December. · January 23, 1993: Mir Aimal Kansi, a Pakistani, opened fire on CIA employees on the highway outside the agency's headquarters in Virginia. Kansi allegedly told a roommate that he was angry about the treatment of Muslims in Bosnia and was going to get even by shooting up the CIA, the White House, and the Israeli embassy. · February 26, 1993: A group of Islamic extremists detonated a massive van bomb in the garage of the World Trade Center in New York City. The Egyptian perpetrators were trying to kill 250,000 people by collapsing the towers. Ramzi Yousef, the leader of the terrorists, said the intent was to inflict Hiroshima-like casualties to punish the United States for its policies in the Middle East. The perpetrators consid-ered augmenting the explosion with radiological or chemical agents that would have increased the casualties. · March 3, 1993: Terrorists exploded a bomb in front of the U.S. embassy in Belgrade. This attack was most likely directed at U.S. policy toward Serbia and Bosnia. · April 15, 1993: Seventeen Iraqis were arrested by Kuwaiti authorities as they tried to infiltrate Kuwait. A large car bomb and weapons were confiscated. The group was charged with being part of an Iraqi government plot to assassinate former president George Bush on a visit to Kuwait. Accord-ing to the U.S. government, Saddam Hussein was carrying out a threat he had made during the Gulf War--to assassinate President Bush in retaliation for his direction of the war against Iraq. President Clinton later retaliated militarily against Iraq for the assassination plot by attacking Iraqi intelligence headquarters with cruise missiles. · June 1993: Sheik Omar Abdul Rahman--a militant Egyptian cleric--and other radical Muslims conspired to destroy several New York landmarks on the same day, inflicting many Page 17 casualties. On July 4, as a follow-on to their bombing of the World Trade Center, the group planned to blow up UN headquarters, the Lincoln and Holland tunnels under the Hudson River, the George Washington Bridge, and the federal government's main office building in New York. The group also planned to assassinate Sen. Alfonse D'Amato (R-N.Y.) and others. Funding for the operation apparently came from Iran and was funneled through Sudan. Two intelligence officers from Sudan were planning to place the bombs in the UN building. At the time they were arrested, the conspir-ators were mixing fertilizer and diesel fuel to create a bomb like the one used on the World Trade Center. Rahman and nine others were convicted of the plot on October 1, 1995. As in the World Trade Center bombing, the plotters were attempting to punish the United States for its policies toward the Middle East. · July 1, 1993: Terrorists fired two rockets at the U.S. Air Force base at Yokota, Japan. The incident happened a few days before President Clinton arrived at the base. The incident most likely resulted from opposition to the U.S. military presence in Japan. · July 7, 1993: Six days later, terrorists fired four pro-jectiles at the headquarters of the U.S. Air Force in Japan at Camp Zama, Japan. Again, the incident was most likely related to opposition to the U.S. military presence in Japan. · October 3, 1993: Osama bin Laden's operatives trained Somali tribesmen who conducted ambushes of U.S. peacekeeping forces in Somalia in support of clan leader Mohamed Farah Aideed. The ambushes culminated in the downing of two helicopters, the death of 18 American Army Rangers, and the dragging of dead American soldiers through the streets of Mogadishu. An indictment of his followers alleged that bin Laden's organization, al Qaida, believed that the United States--an "infidel nation"--had a nefarious plot to occupy Islamic countries, as demonstrated by its involvement in the peacekeeping operation in Somalia and the Persian Gulf War. The October 3rd incident led to the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Somalia. Bin Laden called the Somalia operation his group's greatest triumph. · October 21, 1994: Members of the Abu Nidal organization were convicted of plotting to kill Jews in the United States, blow up the Israeli embassy in Washington, and kill anyone who exposed their plots. The attacks were likely motivated by anger over U.S. support for Israel. Page 19 February 7, 1995: Ramzi Yousef, mastermind of the World Trade Center bombing, was arrested in Pakistan. The arrest foiled a plan he had already set in motion to bomb 12 U.S. jumbo jets in flight and kill the 4,000 passengers. Yousef wanted to punish the United States for its policies toward the Middle East. · Shortly before Easter 1995: Authorities were tipped off by Japanese police that members of the Aum Shinrikyo (Supreme Truth) religious cult planned a nerve gas attack at Disney-land in Anaheim, California. The group planned to attack during a fireworks celebration when attendance at the park would reach maximum capacity. U.S. authorities apprehended members of the group at the Los Angeles airport before they could launch the attack. The plan also included an attack on petrochemical facilities in Los Angeles. Aum Shinrikyo had earlier used sarin nerve gas to attack the Tokyo subway (March 20, 1995). According to the group's belief system, the last years of the millennium will give rise to an Arma-geddon between Japan and the United States. Aum Shinrikyo believed that attacking the Tokyo subway would hasten the Armageddon. The group was hoping to kill tens of thousands of people. The cult chose the United States--a friendly nation--as Japan's adversary rather than other regional nations that are much more likely to be future rivals of Japan in East Asia-—China, Russia, and North and South Korea. That indi-cates how easily an interventionist superpower can be vili-fied by conspiratorially minded groups, even in a friendly nation. The Aum Shinrikyo cult had assets of $1.2 billion and the capability to produce sarin and VX gas, the agents that cause anthrax and botulism, and radiological weapons. The group is still active. · August 18, 1995: The Manuel Rodriguez Patriotic Front claimed responsibility for a bomb explosion at an office building that housed the American company Fluor Daniel in Santiago, Chile. The group stated that the incident was carried out in solidarity with Cuba and in opposition to the American economic blockade of that island. · September 13, 1995: A rocket-propelled grenade was fired at the U.S. embassy in Russia. Authorities suspect the attack was in retaliation for U.S. involvement in NATO air strikes against Bosnian Serb targets. Page 19
November 13, 1995: A car bombing of a military complex in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia--which housed a U.S. military advisory group--killed 7 people (including 5 Americans) and wounded 42 others. Muslim militants seeking to topple the Saudi monarchy and push the "infidel" United States out of Saudi Arabia carried out the bombings. Three groups, including the Islamic Movement for Change, claimed responsibility. U.S. officials suspect that Osama bin Laden was involved. Bin Laden is opposed to the U.S. presence in Saudi Arabia and U.S. support for Israel. · November 15, 1995: An explosive device was discovered on a power line to a U.S. military complex in Sagmihara, Japan. No group claimed responsibility. The incident was most likely related to opposition to the U.S. military presence in Japan. · February 15, 1996: Unidentified assailants fired a rocket at the U.S. embassy compound in Athens, Greece, causing minor damage to three diplomatic vehicles and surrounding buildings. The State Department noted that the circumstanc-es of the attack suggested it was an attack by the group November 17. November 17 attacks U.S. targets because of "American imperialism-nationalism." · May 31, 1996: In Nicaragua a gang of disgruntled former Contra guerrillas kidnapped an employee of the U.S. Agency for International Development who was assisting in prepara-tions for the Nicaraguan elections. She was later released unharmed. · June 25, 1996: A truck bombing of the U.S. military apart-ment complex, Khobar Towers, near Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, killed 19 U.S. airmen, wounded 515 persons (including 240 U.S. citizens), and resulted in many other casualties. Muslim militants seeking to topple the Saudi monarchy and push the "infidel" United States out of Saudi Arabia carried out the bombings. U.S. officials have linked Osama bin Laden to the bombing. Some analysts also suspect Iranian complicity. · February 23, 1997: Ali Hassan Abu Kamal, a Palestinian, opened fire on the observation deck of the Empire State Building in New York City. After killing or wounding sever-al tourists, he committed suicide. Abu Kamal apparently acted in revenge for the treatment of Palestinians by the United States and Israel. · July 31, 1997: Police in Brooklyn arrested two Palestinian men who allegedly planned suicide bombings of the subway and Page 20 a commuter bus. They had a portrait of Sheik Omar Abdul Rahman in their possession. Like Rahman, the Palestinians were probably motivated by opposition to U.S. policies toward the Middle East. · November 12, 1997: Four employees of Union Texas Petroleum died in an attack on their vehicle one mile from the U.S. consulate in Karachi, Pakistan. Two groups--the Islamic Revolutionary Council and the Aimal Secret Committee-- claimed that the killings were revenge for the conviction of Mir Aimal Kansi, the Pakistani who had murdered CIA employ-ees to protest the treatment of Muslims in Bosnia. (Angry about the treatment of Muslims in Bosnia, Kansi had told his roommate that he would get even by shooting up the CIA, the White House, and the Israeli embassy.) · December 23, 1997: Assailants fired shots at the teachers' residential compound of the Karachi American School. The school and the teachers' residence are in the same neigh-borhood as other consulate residences. One guard was shot at a guard post that had been established after the November 12, 1997, shooting of Union Texas Petroleum employees in Karachi. Because of the timing (about a month after the first incident) and the location, this attack was probably also in retaliation for the conviction of Mir Aimal Kansi. · April 3, 1998: The Greek November 17 movement claimed re-sponsibility for a recent rash of attacks against U.S. targets. November 17's victims since 1975 include a CIA station chief and three other Americans. The group issued a statement saying the campaign was "aimed against American imperialism-nationalism." · August 7, 1998: Simultaneous car bombings of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania--allegedly linked to wealthy Saudi Osama bin Laden--led to more than 200 deaths. Before the bombings, bin Laden declared openly that he would kill Americans and would not discriminate between military per-sonnel and civilians. Bin Laden objects to the U.S. pres-ence in Saudi Arabia and American support for Israel. On August 20, 1998, the United States launched cruise missiles on bin Laden’s training camp in Afghanistan and a chemical factory in Sudan. The Clinton administration claimed that the Sudanese factory produced chemical weapons and was allegedly linked (at least tangentially) to bin Laden. · August 25, 1998: A Planet Hollywood restaurant (part of an American chain) in South Africa was bombed. South African authorities said the likely culprits were local terrorists ("Muslims Against Global Oppression") seeking revenge on the Page 21 United States for the U.S. cruise missile attacks against Afghanistan and Sudan. · August 26, 1998: A U.S. government information center in Pristina, Kosovo, was fire-bombed by an unknown person. The incident was most likely aimed at U.S. and NATO policy on Kosovo. · Early September 1998: The Ugandan government and the Federal Bureau of Investigation uncovered a plot by Osama bin Laden's terrorist organization to bomb the U.S. embassy in Kampala, Uganda. It was the second attempt to bomb the embassy; the first attempt occurred on August 7 in conjunc-tion with the bombings of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. U.S. and Ugandan officials agreed that the August 7th attempt failed because Uganda had more experience with terrorism and was better prepared to deal with it than were Kenya and Tanzania. Ugandan officials say that the U.S. cruise missile strike on Sudan in retaliation for the bomb-ings in Kenya and Tanzania may have prompted the bombers to try a second time to attack the embassy in Kampala. Several arrests have been made in connection with the bombing. Conclusion All of the examples of terrorist attacks on the United States can be explained as retaliation for U.S. intervention abroad. Empirically validating the connection between an interventionist foreign policy and such attacks is more critical than ever now that terrorists can more readily obtain weapons of mass destruction and seem to be more willing to use them. The extensive number of incidents of terrorism linked to U.S. foreign policy implies that the United States could substantially reduce the chance of catastrophic terrorist attacks if it lowered its military profile overseas. 16 The United States needs to adopt a new policy that would use military force only as a last resort in the defense of truly vital national interests. The Cold War has ended, yet the United States continues to use its worldwide military dominance to intervene any-where and everywhere in an effort to maintain its defense perimeter far forward. In a changed strategic environment in which ostensibly weak terrorist groups might acquire weapons of mass destruction, such an extended defense perim-eter may actually increase the catastrophic threat to the American homeland. Even the U.S. Department of Defense admits the problem: Page 22 Indeed, a paradox of the new strategic environment is that American military superiority actually increases the threat of nuclear, biological, and chemical attack against us by creating incentives for adversaries to challenge us asymmetrically. These weapons may be used as tools of terrorism against the American people. 17 But proponents of America's current interventionist foreign policy, such as the National Review, ignore the new strategic realities and criticize the proposed policy of military restraint as "preemptively capitulating to the terrorists." 18 Adopting a restrained foreign policy has nothing to do with appeasing terrorists. Terrorist acts are morally outrageous and should be punished whenever possible. Reducing the motive for terrorists to attack the United States with weapons of mass destruction is not the only reason to adopt a policy of military restraint overseas, although it is a sensible one. In the more benign environ-ment of a post-Cold War world, promiscuous military inter-vention by the United States--which can result in lost lives, high financial costs, and open-ended commitments--is no longer needed. It is common sense, rather than appease-ment, for the United States to adapt its activist Cold War foreign policy to the new strategic environment that re-quires more restraint overseas. Notes 1. Quoted in John Carey, "Missile Defense vs. Terror: New Terrorism Has Many Faces, Including Ballistic," Defense News, August 31-September 6, 1998, p. 27. 2. Charles William Maynes, "Fighting Dirty Won't Work," Washington Post, August 31, 1998, p. A21. 3. Defense Science Board, The Defense Science Board 1997 Summer Study Task Force on DoD Responses to Transnational Threats (Washington: U.S. Department of Defense, October 1997), vol. 1, Final Report, p. 15. Emphasis added. Cited hereafter as Transnational Threats. 4. White House, "Radio Address by the President to the Nation," August 8, 1998. 5. Richard Betts, "The New Threat of Mass Destruction," Foreign Affairs 77, no. 1 (January-February 1998): 28. Page 23 6. Quoted in Dan Smith, "The Great Terrorism Scare," De-fense Monitor, October 1, 1998, p. 3. 7. Ibid., p. 4. 8. White House, "Remarks by the President to the Opening Session of the 53rd United Nations General Assembly," Sep-tember 21, 1998. 9. Ibid. 10. Gerald Seib, "Why Terror Inc. Puts Americans in the Cross Hairs," Wall Street Journal, August 28, 1998, p. A24. 11. U.S. Department of State, Patterns of Global Terrorism: 1997 (Washington: Government Printing Office, 1997), p. 2. 12. Betts, p. 40. 13. Transnational Threats, p. ix. 14. Ibid., pp. 15-16. 15. The list shows only the most prominent acts of terrorism against the United States in retaliation for its interventionist foreign policy. It is by no means exhaustive. The sources for the list are as follows: International Policy Institute for Counterterrorism data base (www.ict.org.il /inter _ter/attackresults.cfm); Louis Mizell Jr., Target USA: The Inside Story of the New Terrorist War (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1998), pp. 179- 200; Beau Grosscup, The Newest Explosions of Terrorism: Latest Sites of Terrorism in 90's and Beyond (Far Hills, N.J.: New Horizon, 1998), pp. 1-34, 123-45, 263-319, 363-410; Leroy Thompson, Ragged War: The Story of Unconventional and Counter-Revolutionary Warfare (London: Arms and Armor, 1996), pp. 156-75; Transnational Threats, pp. 13-20; Edwin P. Hoyt, America's Wars and Military Excursions (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1987), pp. 525-29; and J. Robert Moskin, The U.S. Marine Corps Story (Boston: Little, Brown, 1992), pp. 727-41. 16. For a more comprehensive discussion of that thesis, see Ivan Eland, "Protecting the Homeland: The Best Defense Is to Give No Offense," Cato Institute Policy Analysis no. 306, May 5, 1998. See also Betts, pp. 27-28, 40-41; and Oscar Lurie, "Does 'Superior Power' Abroad Risk Terror at Home?" Weekly Defense Monitor, October 15, 1998, p. 5. Page 24 17. U.S. Department of Defense, Proliferation: Threat and Response (Washington: Government Printing Office, November 1997), p. iii. Emphasis in the original. 18. "The Right Blames America First," National Review, August 28, 1998.
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