|
(billion dollars)
|
| Universal primary
education |
12
|
| Eradication of adult
illiteracy |
4
|
| School lunch programs
for 44 poorest countries |
6
|
| Assistance to preschool
children and pregnant women in 44 poorest
countries |
4
|
| Reproductive health and
family planning |
7
|
| Universal basic health
care |
33
|
| Closing the condom gap |
2
|
| Earth
Restoration Goals |
|
| |
|
| Reforesting the earth |
6
|
| Protecting topsoil on
cropland |
24
|
| Restoring rangelands |
9
|
| Restoring fisheries |
13
|
| Protecting biological
diversity |
31
|
| Stabilizing water tables
|
10
|
| |
|
| |
|
| GRAND
TOTAL |
161
|
| |
| Source:
Earth
Policy Institute, 2007. |
Combining social goals and
earth restoration components into a Plan B budget yields
an additional annual expenditure of $161 billion,
roughly one third of the current U.S. military budget or
one sixth of the global military budget.
Unfortunately, the United
States continues to focus on building an ever-stronger
military, largely ignoring the threats posed by
continuing environmental deterioration, poverty, and
population growth. Its proposed defense budget for 2006,
including $50 billion for the military operations in
Iraq and Afghanistan, brings the U.S. projected military
expenditure to $492 billion. Other North Atlantic Treaty
Organization members spend $209 billion a year on the
military. Russia spends about $65 billion, and China,
$56 billion. U.S. military spending is now roughly equal
to that of all other countries combined. As the late
Eugene Carroll, Jr., a retired admiral, astutely
observed, “For forty-five years of the Cold War we were
in an arms race with the Soviet Union. Now it appears we
are in an arms race with ourselves.”
| |
(billion dollars)
|
| |
|
| United States |
492
|
| Russia |
65
|
| China |
56
|
| United Kingdom |
49
|
| Japan |
45
|
| France |
40
|
| Germany |
30
|
| Saudi Arabia |
19
|
| India |
19
|
| Italy |
18
|
| All other |
142
|
|
|
|
975
|
|
161
|
| |
Note:
The U.S. number is the budget estimate for
FY2006 (including
$50 billion for military operations in Iraq
and Afghanistan); Russia and China data are for
2003. |
| |
| Source:
Earth
Policy Institute, 2007. |
It is decision time. Like
earlier civilizations that got into environmental
trouble, we can decide to stay with business as usual
and watch our modern economy decline and eventually
collapse, or we can consciously move onto a new path,
one that will sustain economic progress. In this
situation, no action is actually a decision to stay on
the decline-and-collapse path.
It is hard to find the words to convey the gravity of
our situation and the momentous nature of the decision
we are about to make. How can we convey the urgency of
this moment in history? Will tomorrow be too late? Do
enough of us care deeply enough to turn the tide now?
Will someone somewhere one day erect a tombstone for our
civilization? If so, how will it read? It cannot say we
did not understand. We do understand. It cannot say we
did not have the resources. We do have the resources. It
can only say we were too slow to respond to the forces
undermining our civilization. Time ran out.
No one can argue today that we do not have the resources
to eradicate poverty, stabilize population, and protect
the earth’s natural resource base. We can get rid of
hunger, illiteracy, disease, and poverty, and we can
restore the earth’s soils, forests, and fisheries.
Shifting one sixth of the world military budget to the
Plan B budget would be more than adequate to move the
world onto a path that would sustain progress. We can
build a global community where the basic needs of all
the earth’s people are satisfied—a world that will allow
us to think of ourselves as civilized.
This economic restructuring depends on tax
restructuring, on getting the market to be ecologically
honest. The benchmark of political leadership in all
countries will be whether or not leaders succeed in
restructuring the tax system as, for example, Germany
and Sweden have are doing. This is the key to
restructuring the energy economy—both to stabilize
climate and to make the transition to the post-petroleum
world.
As we look at the environmentally destructive trends
that are undermining our future, the world is
desperately in need of visible evidence that we can
indeed turn things around at the global level.
Fortunately, the steps to reverse destructive trends or
to initiate constructive new trends are often mutually
reinforcing or win-win solutions. For example,
efficiency gains that reduce oil use also reduce carbon
emissions and air pollution. Steps to eradicate poverty
simultaneously help eradicate hunger and stabilize
population. Reforestation fixes carbon, increases
aquifer recharge, and reduces soil erosion. Once we get
enough trends headed in the right direction, they will
often reinforce each other.
It is easy to spend hundreds of billions in response to
terrorist threats, but the reality is that the resources
needed to disrupt a modern economy are small, and a U.S.
Department of Homeland Security, however heavily funded,
provides only minimal protection from suicidal
terrorists. The challenge is not to provide a high-tech
military response to terrorism, but to build a global
society that is environmentally sustainable and
equitable—one that restores hope for everyone. Such an
effort would more effectively undermine the support for
terrorism than any increase in military expenditures,
than any new weapons systems, however advanced.
This is the
third in a three-part series of Book Bytes laying out
the Plan B Budget. See
www.earthpolicy.org/Books/Seg/index.htm for the full
series.
Adapted from Chapter
13, “Building a New Future,” in Lester R. Brown,
Plan B 2.0: Rescuing a Planet Under Stress and a
Civilization in Trouble (New York: W.W.
Norton & Company, 2006), available for free downloading
and purchase at
www.earthpolicy.org/Books/PB2/index.htm.
|