23/02/08 "ICH" -- --
Reuel Marc
Gerecht's opinion piece in the New York
Times, titled
'Attack Iran, With Words' advocating
diplomacy with Iran may have taken some
readers including this one by surprise given
his resident fellowship credentials at the
American Enterprise Institute. Not that
there is anything new and earth shattering
about the concept of engaging in dialog in
order to resolve differences between
nations. But is it possible that these
people finally got a whiff of what the rest
of us call 'Common Sense'?
Well, after reading the article the answer
is still a resounding 'no'.
The current administration has paid a lot of
lip service in the last few years to the
notion of a diplomatic solution while
continuously preparing public opinion
through media spin on a path toward war with
Iran. But that was three months and one very
damaging National Intelligence Estimate ago.
Strangely enough, the new neo-con strategy
seems to be calling for real diplomacy not
for the sake of preserving peace but rather
to revive the vanishing and increasingly
unpopular idea of using military force
because as Gerecht puts it "the current
approach isn't working". He goes on to
suggest that "we must find a way to restore
the resolve of all those parties [China,
Russia, Germany, Britain and Germany] to hit
Iran with a tsunami of sanctions if we are
to diminish the victorious esprit in Tehran
and the centrifuge production at Natanz."
And as for those "praying for the clerical
regime to do something stupid" he dashes
such hopes by stating that "[Iranians] will
likely play it sufficiently cool to make it
difficult for the United States to strike
them pre-emptively. Thus the best reason to
offer to begin talks with Tehran is that the
regime will almost certainly refuse any
offer to normalize relations."
So his recommendations for talking is not
for the old cockamamie idea of engaging Iran
in a wide-ranging dialog that would
recognize its regional role or address any
security or geo-strategic concerns, but
"something that must be checked off before
the next president could unleash the Air
Force and the Navy."
And if you still have any doubt as to what
he is exactly suggesting, he spells it out
in black and white for you: "To make the
threat of force against clerical Iran
credible again, there needs to be a
consensus among far more Democrats and
Republicans that a nuclear-armed Iran is
intolerable. If the White House tried more
energetically to find a diplomatic solution
to the nuclear threat, if it demonstrated
that it had reached out to Iranian
"pragmatists" and "moderates," and that
again no one responded, then the military
option would likely become convincing to
more Americans."
Well this writer is certainly convinced.
After 6 years of saber rattling and refusing
to talk, except for making threats, moving a
third of the U.S. naval arsenal to the
Persian Gulf and accusing Iran of helping
Iraqi insurgents without presenting a shred
of evidence, who knew diplomacy could be
such a powerful tool for war.