Getting Georgia's War On
By Mark Ames
11/08/08 "The
Nation" -- - The outbreak of war in Georgia on
Friday offers a disturbing and somewhat surreal taste of what to
expect from John McCain should he become our nation's Commander
in Chief. As the centuries-old ethnic animosities between
Georgia and Ossetia boiled over into another armed conflict,
drawing in neighboring Russia, McCain issued a stark-raving
statement from Des Moines that is disturbingly reminiscent of
the language used in the lead-up to NATO's war against
Yugoslavia in 1999, a war McCain zealously pushed for:
"We should immediately call a
meeting of the North Atlantic Council to assess Georgia's
security and review measures NATO can take to contribute to
stabilizing this very dangerous situation," McCain said.
Calling on NATO to "stabilize
this dangerous situation" is not going down well with Russia,
where
images of dead Russian peacekeepers and of frightened
Ossetian refugees streaming across its borders have put the
country in a very vengeful mood. It's hard to imagine what
measures NATO could take under a McCain presidency, but in the
mind of a man who thinks US troops should stay in Iraq for 100
years, and who runs around singing "Bomb Bomb Iran!" it's not
hard to guess--and even harder not to be horrified by what it
may mean come January 2009, should he win.
McCain's call to NATO-ize the
war is not only frightening, it's also delusional: both NATO and
US forces are already stretched beyond the breaking point, even
by Joint Chief of Staff chairman Michael Millen's own recent
assessment.
But McCain's brain remains
undeterred by reality, a fact that became painfully clear today
in Des Moines when he also demanded, "The US should immediately
convene an emergency session of the United Nations Security
Council to call on Russia to reverse course."
The problem with McCain's bold
demand about going to the UN is that Russia already tried doing
exactly what McCain called for--and got rejected by McCain's
neocon pals in the Bush Administration. Early this morning,
Russia convened an emergency session of the UN Security Council,
calling on both sides to immediately cease hostilities, return
to the negotiating table and renounce the use of force--but the
last part about renouncing the use of force is exactly what
Georgia's president Mikhail Saakashvili refuses to do.
The Bush Administration showed
that it too has no patience with crunchy "renounce the use of
force" resolutions. According to a
Reuters report from earlier in the day:
At the
request of Russia, the U.N. Security Council held an emergency
session in New York but failed to reach consensus early Friday
on a Russian-drafted statement.
The council
concluded it was at a stalemate after the United States, Britain
and some other members backed the Georgians in rejecting a
phrase in the three-sentence draft statement that would have
required both sides "to renounce the use of force," council
diplomats said.
The meaning of this is clear:
the United States and Britain are backing Saakashvili's
invasion. Why would we back Saakashvili's reckless war, when
last year even Bush was denouncing the Pinochet-wannabe's
violent attack on his own people during a peaceful opposition
protest in Georgia's capital, as well as shutting down the
opposition media and exiling of political opponents? That would
be a brain-teaser if the last seven years hadn't answered this
question so many painful times already.
But with McCain, answering this
is a little trickier. When he issued today's Des Moines
statement calling for Russia to do what Russia already did a few
hours earlier, you have to ask yourself: either McCain's
short-term memory is totally shot, encased in an impenetrable
tomb of aluminum-zirconium plaque... or worse, McCain simply
doesn't give a damn about reality, he just wants to get
Georgia's war on, as badly as Saakashvili does.
The awful truth is probably a
combination of the two, which is the worst of all worlds,
considering McCain's raving Russophobia, and his campaign team's
financial and ideological ties to Saakashvili. As has been
reported, McCain's top foreign policy advisor, neocon Randy
Scheunemann, has a long financial relationship with Saakashvili
to lobby his interests in the United States.
According to the
Wall Street Journal:
In 2005, Mr.
Scheunemann asked Sen. McCain to introduce a Senate resolution
expressing support for peace in the Russian-influenced region of
South Ossetia that wants to break away from Georgia, the records
show.
Such
resolutions of Senate support are symbolic but helpful to
countries in their diplomatic relations. The Senate approved
Sen. McCain's resolution in December 2005, and the Georgian
Embassy posted the text on its Web site.
Sen. McCain
has endorsed Georgia's goal of entering NATO, a matter for which
the country hired Mr. Scheunemann to lobby. In 2006, Senator
McCain gave a speech at the Munich Conference on Security in
Germany in which he said "Georgia has implemented far-reaching
political, economic, and military reforms" and should enter
NATO, a text of his speech on the conference Web site shows.
Scheunemann, a bearded,
pear-faced gun geek who looks like what might have happened to a
GI Joe doll if it had spent years stuffing its face at pricey
restaurants while power-schmoozing politicians and petty
dictators, also worked for recently-disgraced Bush fundraiser
Stephen Payne, lobbying for his Caspian Alliance oil business.
The Caspian oil pipeline runs through Georgia, the main reason
that country has tugged the heartstrings of neocons and oil
plutocrats for at least a decade or more.
In 2006, McCain visited Georgia
and denounced the South Ossetian separatists, proving that
Scheunemann wasn't wasting his Georgian sponsor's money. At a
speech he gave in a Georgian army base in Senaki, McCain
declared that Georgia was America's "best friend," and that
Russian peacekeepers should be thrown out.
Today, Georgian forces from that
same Senaki base are part of the invasion force into South
Ossetia, an invasion that has left scores--perhaps hundreds--of
dead locals, at least ten dead Russian peacekeepers, and 140
million pissed-off Russians calling for blood.
Lost in all of this is not only
the question of why America would risk an apocalypse to help a
petty dictator like Saakashvili get control of a region that
doesn't want any part of him. But no one's bothering to ask what
the Ossetians themselves think about it, or why they're fighting
for their independence in the first place. That's because the
Georgians--with help from lobbyists like Scheunemann--have been
pushing the line that South Ossetia is a fiction, a construct of
evil Kremlin neo-Stalinists, rather than a people with a genuine
grievance.
A few years ago, I had an
Ossetian working as the sales director for my now-defunct
newspaper, The eXile.
After listening to me rave about how much I always (and still
do) like the Georgians, he finally lost it and told me another
side to Georgian history, explaining how the Georgians had
always mistreated the Ossetians, and how the South Ossetians
wanted to reunite with North Ossetia in order to avoid being
swallowed up, and how this conflict goes way back, long before
the Soviet Union days. It was clear that the Ossetian-Georgian
hatred was old and deep, like many ethnic conflicts in this
region. Indeed, a number of Caucasian ethnic groups still harbor
deep resentment towards Georgia, accusing them of imperialism,
chauvinism and arrogance.
One example of this can be found
in historian Bruce Lincoln's book, Red Victory, in which
he writes about the period of Georgia's brief independence from
1917 to 1921, a time when Georgia was backed by Britain:
the Georgian
leaders quickly moved to widen their borders at the expense of
their Armenian and Azerbaijani neighbors, and their territorial
greed astounded foreign observers. 'The free and independent
socialist democratic state of Georgia will always remain in my
memory as a classic example of an imperialist small nation," one
British journalist wrote.... "Both in territory snatching
outside and bureaucratic tyranny inside, its chauvinism was
beyond all bounds."
On Thursday, following intense
Georgian shelling and katyusha rocketing into Tskhinvali,
refugees streamed out of South Ossetia telling reporters that
the Georgians had completely leveled entire villages and most of
Tskhinvali, leaving "piles of corpses" in the streets, over
1,000 by some counts. Among the dead are at least ten Russian
peacekeepers, who fell after their base was attacked by Georgian
forces. Reports also say that Georgian forces destroyed a hotel
where Russian journalists were staying.
In response, Russian jets bombed
Georgian positions both inside South Ossetia and into Georgia
proper, attacking one base where American military instructors
are quartered (no Americans were reported hurt). By
mid-afternoon Moscow time, as local television showed burning
homes and Ossetian women and children huddling in bomb shelters,
armored Russian columns were crossing into Georgian territory,
and Georgia's President called for a total mobilization of
military-aged men for war with Russia.
The invasion was backed up by a
PR offensive so layered and sophisticated that I even got an
hysterical call today from a hedge fund manager in New York,
screaming about an "investor call" that Georgian Prime Minister
Lado Gurgenidze made this morning with some fifty leading
Western investment bank managers and analysts. I've since seen a
J.P. Morgan summary of the conference call, which pretty much
reflects the talking points later picked up by the US media.
These kinds of conference calls
are generally conducted by the heads of companies in order to
give banking analysts guidance. But as the hedge fund manager
told me today, "The reason Lado did this is because he knew the
enormous PR value that Georgia would gain by going to the money
people and analysts, particularly since Georgia is clearly the
aggressor this time." As a former investment banker who worked
in London and who used to head the Bank of Georgia, Gurgenidze
knew what he was doing. "Lado is a former banker himself, so he
knew that by framing the conflict for the most influential
bankers and analysts in New York, that these power bankers would
then write up reports and go on CNBC and argue Lado Gurgenidze's
talking points. It was brilliant, and now you're starting to see
the American media shift its coverage from calling it Georgia
invading Ossetian territory, to the new spin, that it's Russian
imperial aggression against tiny little Georgia."
The really scary thing about
this investor conference call is that it suggests real planning.
As the hedge fund manager told me, "These things aren't set up
on an hour's notice."
Where this war is leading is
impossible to say, but as Iraq and Afghanistan, not to mention
Chechnya, have shown, wars have a funny way of lasting longer,
costing more in money and lives, and snuffing out whatever
individual liberties the affected populations may have. As good
as this war is for Saakashvili, who has become increasingly
unpopular at home and abroad, or for McCain, whose poll numbers
seem to rise every time the plaque devours another lobe of his
brain, it also bodes well for the resurgent Prime Minister Putin,
who seems to have become increasingly peeved with his
hand-picked successor, President Dmitry Medvedev's flickering
independence and his liberalizer shtick. There's nothing like a
good war to snuff out an uppity sois-disant liberal who's
getting in your way--even McCain can still grasp this concept.
As I'm filing this, Russian
forces are battling to take back Tskhinvali, while Saakashvili
has been alternately claiming to have pulled his forces back, or
that his forces are in full control of the city and defeating
the Russians. Meanwhile, Georgia has been on a massive,
successful, multi-layered PR offensive in the West, helped by
years of cultivating people like John McCain as well as the army
of neocons and old cold warriors who naturally gravitate to a
fight with Russia.
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