US Waves
Goodbye to Prosperity and Democracy
By David Hirst
08/09/08 "The
Age" -- - THE events of the
weekend begin the greatest intervention in the US economy by the
Federal Government since the Great Depression, with the Bear
Stearns rescue but a splutter on this road we must now travel.
If you were wondering what all the
flag-waving at the Republican convention has been about, it is
now clear. Americans are waving goodbye to the prosperity the
nation has enjoyed since the Great Depression and a final
goodbye to democracy. But while preparation for the most
important decision made in the nation's post-depression
financial history towered above the conventions, I don't think
the fate of Freddie and Fannie and the remaining
government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) was mentioned during
either convention.
And the politicians. President
Bush has long authorised the Treasury to open its purse strings
and, naturally, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said he did not
expect the line of endless taxpayer credit to be used. This is
like signing an authority to go to war and saying we don't
expect to go to war. Once the authority is given, it will
happen. It was always laughable to expect otherwise. Paulson
"briefed" John McCain and Barack Obama on the "plan". The fact
is that while America, and the world, wait to see who will
govern, Mr Paulson has decided to take matters out of the
politicians' hands.
They willingly agreed. The
ultimate political power, to spend taxpayers' money, has been
tossed away. Obviously the economy is too important to be left
to the politicians. Instead it is to be put into "conservatorship".
It has come to this.
We don't know exactly what
"this" is, but all will be revealed before the Asian markets
open today. Like all things Paulson has done lately, it is aired
in rarefied circles during the week, decided on by Friday,
announced on Saturday, the details hammered out on Sunday and a
final deal revealed for the Asian markets, which will judge the
matter on the Monday morning.
But the politicians can't
entirely escape. While the future of US institutions "too big to
fail" dominated all on Friday night, the Federal Deposits
Insurance Commission quietly announced yet another bank was too
small to save. The Silver State Bank of Nevada is actually a
good-sized bank. I wonder if any attention will be attracted to
John McCain, whose son Andrew retired from a directorship of the
bank a few weeks ago.
Back to the deluge. As this
column, citing Brad Setser of RGE Monitor, among others, has
been at pains to point out, foreign, particularly Asian, central
banks are key investors in Fannie and Freddie paper and they
have been losing confidence in the GSEs. The take on that by
Barron's was that "Fed data offer circumstantial evidence of, if
not of a run, then of a steady walking away from Fannie and
Freddie securities".
The consequences of this are so
dire, we are assured, that Paulson had to act. The moral hazard
no longer underpins US or global banking. Instead one is
reminded of Doolittle when asked by Pickering: "Have you no
morals man?" "Na, nah. Can't afford 'em, Governor."
The refrain is that we must
urgently use this power to protect the taxpayer. But the
taxpayer didn't dig this hole; it was the banks.
Today we are seeing panic at the
top while Joe Sixpack is behaving with the sort of calm we
should be seeing at the top.
David Hirst is a journalist,
documentary maker, financial consultant and investor. His
column, Planet Wall Street, is syndicated by News Bites, a
Melbourne-based sharemarket and business news publisher.
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