.

US
finds a communist ally against Iran
By B Raman
06/21/03: (Asia Times) The United States, which used Islamic
fundamentalists against communism in Afghanistan in the 1980s, has
embarked on an operation to use communists to bring about the end of the
Islamic regime in Iran.
The dozens of anti-cleric and secular Iranian exile groups operating
from the West against the Islamic regime in Tehran broadly fall into the
following categories:
- The left-oriented Mujahideen-e-Khalq (MEK -
People's Mujahideen) and elements allied with it in the National
Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI). They mainly operate from West
Europe, with headquarters in France.
- The monarchists, mainly operating from the US, with
the help of neo-conservative and Jewish lobby groups.
- The remnants and new adherents of the old
pro-Moscow Communist Party of Iran, called the Tudeh Party, and
other communist factions, mainly operating from the United Kingdom.
The MEK, which has in the past indulged in acts of terrorism inside
Iran from sanctuaries provided by the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq,
has been designated as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) under
a 1996 US law. Until recently, this precluded any Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA) assistance to or even contacts with it.
However, it would seem that after the occupation of Iraq by the US
forces, the CIA and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) have been
allowed to establish contact with MEK elements in Iraq and West
Europe for using them against the Teheran regime. This decision was
reportedly taken to preempt any Iranian meddling in Iraq.
The MEK has had the ability in the past to organize acts of
terrorism in Iranian territory, mainly because of the operational
assistance provided by the Iraqi intelligence. As of now, the CIA
does not have a similar operational capability inside Iran.
Moreover, the Bush administration would not like to be seen by the
international community as sponsoring terrorism in Iran. Its present
cultivation of the MEK is meant more to exercise psychological
pressure on the Teheran regime and to keep before it the specter of
a US-backed operation one day for a regime change, with the MEK
spearheading the operation with US assistance. The French action
earlier this week to round up the leaders and activists of the MEK
and the NCRI in France was meant to preempt the CIA's covertly using
its territory and the large number of Iranian exiles there for a
destabilization operation in Iran.
The US-based monarchists, who have been financially the most
well-endowed and the most articulate against the Tehran regime, have
the least following inside Iran. Till recently, they were reportedly
the recipients of maximum funds and patronage from the US
intelligence community.
The post-1999 student unrest in Iran made the CIA realize that while
the MEK and the monarchists were making loud, but often unprovable
claims about their following and successes inside Iran, it was the
remnants and the new adherents of the Communist Party/factions who
had been operating silently and effectively inside Iran and built up
a number of anti-cleric, secular and progressive secret cells. It is
these cells which have been largely responsible for the growing
student unrest in Iran since 1999 and for the current wave of
student demonstrations, which have rocked not only Tehran, but also
other cities for nearly 10 days now.
The demonstrations initially started as a protest against a move to
privatize certain universities. Students belonging to middle and
lower middle class families feared that this could make university
education costly and deny them its benefit. They have since assumed
a much larger agenda, calling for the end of the clerical rule and
for the introduction of secularism and genuine democracy in Iran.
The number of students involved in these demonstrations is not very
large - an average of about 3,000 per affected town, but what is
remarkable is the clandestine networking, tenacity of purpose and
the ability to evade detection of their cells by the Iranian
intelligence agencies displayed by the organizers. Neither the MEK
nor the monarchists have exhibited such capabilities in the past.
Though the monarchists have been trying to claim credit for what has
been happening, the evidence available suggests that the credit for
the anti-cleric movement should largely go to the communists and
other leftists.
After the Islamic revolutionaries seized power in Iran in 1979,
Iranian intelligence promoted the formation of a number of Student
Islamic Associations and Offices for Consolidation of Islamic Unity
in the universities and other educational institutions to keep a
watch on student activities and to prevent any movement against the
clerics. Iranian students, many of them members of the Tudeh Party,
had played an active role against the dictatorial regime of the Shah
of Iran and in making the success of the Ayatollah Khomeni-led
Islamic revolution possible. They were also in the forefront of the
anti-US campaign, with many of them playing an active role in the
raid on the US embassy in Teheran and the taking of US diplomats as
hostages soon after the clerics came to power. The clerics,
therefore, knew and feared the potential power of the students in
Iran, particularly the fierce motivation of the communists and other
leftist supporters among them. After seizing power with the help of
the communist students, the clerics ruthlessly suppressed the
communists, arresting and executing many of them. Those who escaped
arrest and death at the hands of the clerics managed to flee to West
Europe and started organizing their activities from there. The lead
in this was taken by the London-based Worker-Communist Party of Iran
(WCPI).
Until 1998, the Student Islamic Associations and Offices for
Consolidation of Islamic Unity held sway in the universities and the
communist cells were unable to make any headway. The situation
started changing in favor of the communists from 1999 due to growing
dissatisfaction among the students over the repressive rule of the
regime. The communist cells organized their activities around
demands for freedom of expression, respect for the human rights of
political prisoners, end of the execution of political prisoners,
restoration of genuine democracy, secularism, right to employment
etc.
The communists issued calls for the unity of all progressive
students under the banner of socialism and worker-communism and
clandestinely circulated the writings of Mansoor Hekmat, an
ideologue of the communist students, who had written, "'In a
religious capitalist tyranny, a misogynist, anti-life,
anti-intellect and uncivilized regime, the university is a natural
ground for the growth of communism." One of the articles
circulated by them in the university campuses said, "The more
lucid, clear and radical the slogans and demands of the progressive
movement for the overthrow of the Islamic Republic, the more the
masses of the workers, teachers, women and progressive people will
support these demands. The communist students must recognize these
circumstances and be aware of its profound potential."
Among the various pro-communist organizations that started operating
in the universities, one could mention the Union of Islamic
University Associations, headed by Heshmatollah Tabarzadi, which
started a journal called "Payam-e Daneshju", since banned
by the conservative judicial authorities. It reflects the views of
Iranian dissident scholar Abdul Karim Sorush, who argued that Islam
and democracy are compatible and called for an end to the clergy's
near monopoly on political power. Another nationwide university
organization is the Daftar-e Tahkim-e Vahdat (Office for
Strengthening of Unity) which, while calling for greater political
freedom, distanced itself from the call for removing the clergy from
the corridors of political power. The pro-communist organizations
supported President Mohammad Khatami during his election campaigns,
but have since become disillusioned over his reluctance to assert
himself against the clerics and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.
There was a fresh outbreak of student unrest in Tehran and other
places in November, 2002, which was indicative of the organizing
capability of the secret cells and of the anti-cleric and even anti-Khatami
turn it was taking. On November 18, about 5,000 students of the
Sharif University held a protest rally, which was joined by some
workers from the Iran National Car Factory and Iran Sypa Motor
Manufacturing . About 1,500 students of the Esfahan University also
held a demonstration and shouted, "Down with
dictatorship"; "Iran is not Chile" and "Both in
Kabul and Tehran, down with the Taliban!"
There is as yet no evidence to corroborate the allegations of the
Iranian authorities that the US intelligence has been behind the
current wave of student unrest. However, it appears to be true that,
after repeatedly seeing the potential and clandestine operational
capability of the pro-communist students of the universities, the
CIA has started shifting its bets to them rather than placing them
on the monarchists and the MEK for destabilizing the Tehran regime.
Certain Western-based students' organizations, such as the Students'
Movement Coordination Committee for Democracy in Iran, which do not
appear to be directly associated with the communists, have already
been in receipt of financial assistance and guidance in agitprop
methods from the CIA in the past. Now, an increasing part of this
assistance is being diverted to those directly associated with the
communists.
The CIA's assistance to the anti-cleric elements in Iran started
even under the Clinton administration. This largely consisted of the
supply of funds for propaganda through radio stations and the
Internet. Even now, the CIA's assistance is confined to these
fields. There is as yet no evidence of para-military training being
imparted to these elements anywhere.
On May 19, Kansas Senator Sam Brownback announced at a press
conference that he would introduce a bill to be called the Iran
Democracy Act, asking for US$50 million to promote democracy in Iran
and to fund Iranian opposition groups. There is a debate among
Iranian dissident groups, particularly the leftist-oriented, about
the advisability of accepting financial or other assistance from the
US. Many argue that acceptance of US assistance would give them the
kiss of death and damage their credibility in the eyes of the
Iranian people. They say that open statements of support to the
protesting students by President George W Bush and other US leaders
and officials has already done harm to their movement.
The US views the students' protests as an "Allahsend". It
has presently no plans for any military action in Iran. Hopefully,
it has learnt the right lessons from Afghanistan and Iraq about the
counter-productive and backlash effect of overt military
interventions, particularly in Islamic countries, to achieve
national security objectives. Moreover, the need to avoid more body
bags in the months preceding next year's presidential elections
should rule out an American military foray into Iran.
Not only the US leadership, Democrat or Republican, but also large
sections of the American public opinion have serious concerns, which
they consider legitimate, over the perceived role of the clerical
regime in Iran as the spoiler of peace and stability in the region
and over its nuclear program. US public opinion would strongly back
any action taken by the administration to neutralize the perceived
threats from Iran without getting militarily involved on the ground.
In the US view, a well-orchestrated and effective covert action,
even if it involves the resurgence of communism in Iran, would be a
better option for digging the grave of the clerical regime.
Effective covert action demands bases from which one could relay
broadcasts and telecasts, disseminate printed propaganda, interact
with dissident elements inside Iran without their having to travel
to the West for this purpose, and train the surrogates in
clandestine operations. The CIA was hoping to use Iraqi and
Pakistani territory for this purpose. The deterioration in the
internal security situation in Iraq has ruled out the use of its
territory for the present.
As a result, the importance of Pakistan has increased manyfold in
the CIA's perception. That is why the CIA strongly advised its
government to tickle the ego of President General Pervez Musharraf
by receiving him in Camp David instead of in Washington in his
upcoming visit and to shower him with the kind of honors no other
Pakistani leader has received before - not even Zia ul-Haq during
the Afghan war of the 1980s.
Since his last bilateral visit to the US in February last year,
Musharraf has already ordered his Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI)
to covertly collaborate with the US intelligence agencies for the
collection of intelligence about Iran. It was unhappiness over this,
which led to the resignation of Abdul Sattar, his Foreign Minister,
ostensibly on health grounds.
During the recent visit of Lieutenant-General Ehsanul Haq,
director-general of the ISI, to Washington, the subject of expanding
this cooperation was reportedly further discussed. According to
unconfirmed reports, James Woolsey, former director of the CIA under
Clinton, who has been acting as adviser to the Iranian monarchist
groups, called on Haq. This subject is expected to be on the top of
the agenda for Musharraf's talks with Bush. It is said that the CIA
is interested in re-activating the Sunni Balochis in Iran against
the Tehran regime and in shifting the MEK dregs presently in Iraq to
Pakistani Balochistan so that they can operate from there without
causing embarrassment to the US occupation authority in Baghdad.
Pakistani sources claim that while Musharraf may be inclined to
allow the relaying of clandestine broadcasts and telecasts from
Pakistani territory, he is against re-activating the Iranian
Balochis, which could boomerang on Pakistan's Balochistan.The Bush
administration is expected to dangle before him the lollipop of
another debt write-off and F-16 aircraft if he goes the whole hog in
becoming the US's covert frontline ally against Iran.
The unhappiness over Musharraf's perceived willingness to
collaborate with the US against Iran is not confined to Pakistan's
Foreign Office. Some army officers, such as General Mohammad Aziz, a
fundamentalist Kashmiri officer belonging to the Sudan tribe of
Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (POK), also reportedly expressed their
misgivings during discussions at general headquarters. Aziz is
presently chairman, Chiefs of Staff Committee. They have also
referred to the dangers of the move causing alienation amongst the
Shi'ites in the armed forces. The Pakistan air force, in particular,
has a large number of Shi'ites at the lower and middle levels in the
cadres of technicians.
It is reported that Musharraf has reassured them by projecting that
his present intelligence collaboration with the US is against the
terrorists operating from Iranian territory and not against the
Iranian regime. He has described it as part of the war against
international terrorism by the international coalition under the UN
Security Council Resolution No.1373. He has reportedly reiterated
that he would not agree to any other cooperation which may be
directed against the clerical regime. But their concerns have not
subsided. They have noted that since the recent visit of Ehsanul Haq
to the US, Musharraf's enthusiasm for a gas pipeline from Iran to
India via Pakistan has decreased.
Musharraf wants to go down in Pakistan's history as the leader who
achieved Pakistan's objective in Jammu and Kashmir. If he calculates
that by collaborating with the US to bring down the Tehran regime,
he might achieve this objective, he may not hesitate to do so. New
Delhi and Tehran should be prepared for surprises.
B Raman is Additional Secretary (ret), Cabinet
Secretariat, Government of India, and presently director, Institute
For Topical Studies, Chennai; former member of the National Security
Advisory Board of the Government of India. E-Mail: corde@vsnl.com.
He was also head of the counter-terrorism division of the Research
& Analysis Wing, India's external intelligence agency, from 1988
to August, 1994.
© Copyright 2003 Asia Times
Join our Daily News Headlines
Email Digest
|
|
Information
Clearing House
Daily News Headlines
Digest
|
HOME
COPYRIGHT NOTICE
|