in Ukraine: NATO’s ‘Final Offensive’
By James Petras
November 23, 2014 "ICH"
are clear signs that a major war is about to break
out in Ukraine: A war actively promoted by the NATO
regimes and supported by their allies and clients in
Asia (Japan) and the Middle East (Saudi Arabia).
The war over Ukraine will essentially run along the
lines of a full-scale military offensive against the
southeast Donbas region, targeting the breakaway
ethnic Ukraine- Russian Peoples Republic of Donetsk
and Lugansk, with the intention of deposing the
democratically elected government, disarming the
popular militias, killing the guerrilla resistance
partisans and their mass base, dismantling the
popular representative organizations and engaging in
ethnic cleansing of millions of bilingual Ukraino-Russian
citizens. NATO’s forthcoming military seizure of
the Donbas region is a continuation and extension of
its original violent putsch in Kiev, which overthrew
an elected Ukrainian government in February 2014.
The Kiev junta
and its newly ‘elected’ client rulers, and its NATO
sponsors are intent on a major purge to consolidate
the puppet Poroshenko’s dictatorial rule. The
recent NATO-sponsored elections excluded several
major political parties that had traditionally
supported the country’s large ethnic minority
populations, and was boycotted in the Donbas
region. This sham election in Kiev set the tone for
NATO’s next move toward converting Ukraine into one
gigantic US multi-purpose military base aimed at the
Russian heartland and into a neo-colony for German
capital, supplying Berlin with grain and raw
materials while serving as a captive market for
German manufactured goods.
intensifying war fever is sweeping the West; the
consequences of this madness appear graver by the
The Propaganda and Sanctions Campaign, the G20
Summit and the Military Build Up
drum- beat for a widening conflict in Ukraine,
spearheaded by the Kiev junta and its fascist
militias, echoes in every Western mass media outlet,
every day. Major mass media propaganda mills and
government ‘spokesmen and women’ publish or announce
new trumped-up accounts of growing Russian military
threats to its neighbors and cross-border invasions
into Ukraine. New Russian incursions are ‘reported’
from the Nordic borders and Baltic states to the
Caucuses. The Swedish regime creates a new level of
hysteria over a mysterious “Russian” submarine off
the coast of Stockholm, which it never identifies or
locates – let alone confirms the ‘sighting’.
Estonia and Latvia claim Russian warplanes violated
their air space without confirmation. Poland expels
Russian “spies” without proof or witnesses.
Provocative full-scale joint NATO-client state
military exercises are taking place along Russia’s
frontiers in the Baltic States, Poland, Romania and
sending vast arms shipments to the Kiev junta, along
with “Special Forces” advisers and
counter-insurgency experts in anticipation of a
full-scale attack against the rebels in the Donbas.
regime has never abided by the Minsk cease fire.
According to the UN Human Rights office 13 people on
average –mostly civilians –have been killed each day
since the September cease fire. In eight weeks, the
UN reports that 957 people have killed
–overwhelmingly by Kiev’s armed forces.
regime, in turn, has cut all basic social and public
services to the Peoples’ Republics’, including
electricity, fuel, civil service salaries, pensions,
medical supplies, salaries for teachers and medical
workers, municipal workers wages; banking and
transport have been blockaded.
is to further strangle the economy, destroy the
infrastructure, force an even greater mass exodus of
destitute refugees from the densely populated cities
across the border into Russia and then to launch
massive air, missile, artillery and ground assaults
on urban centers as well as rebel bases.
The Kiev junta
has launched an all-out military mobilization in the
Western regions, accompanied by rabid anti-Russian,
anti-Eastern Orthodox indoctrination campaigns
designed to attract the most violent far right
chauvinist thugs and to incorporate the Nazi-style
military brigades into the frontline shock troops.
The cynical use of irregular fascist militias will
‘free’ NATO and Germany from any responsibility for
the inevitable terror and atrocities in their
campaign. This system of ‘plausible deniability’
mirrors the tactics of the German Nazis whose hordes
of fascist Ukrainians and Ustashi Croats were
notorious in their epoch of ethnic cleansing.
Support of the Kiev Blitz
To isolate and
weaken resistance in the Donbas and guarantee the
victory of the impending Kiev blitz, the EU and the
US are intensifying their economic, military and
diplomatic pressure on Russia to abandon the nascent
peoples’ democracy in the south-east region of
Ukraine, their principle ally.
Each and every
escalation of economic sanctions against Russia is
designed to weaken the capacity of the Donbas
resistance fighters to defend their homes, towns and
cities. Each and every Russian shipment of
essential medical supplies and food to the besieged
population evokes a new and more hysterical outburst
– because it counters Kiev-NATO strategy of starving
the partisans and their mass base into submission or
provoking their flight to safety across the Russian
suffering a series of defeats, the Kiev regime and
its NATO strategists decided to sign a ‘peace
protocol’, the so-called Minsk agreement, to halt
the advance of the Donbas resistance into the
southern regions and to protect its Kiev’s soldiers
and militias holed-up in isolated pockets in the
East. The Minsk agreement was designed to allow the
Kiev junta to build up its military, re-organize its
command and incorporate the disparate Nazi militias
into its overall military forces in preparation for
a ‘final offensive’. Kiev’s military build-up on
the inside and NATO’s escalation of sanctions
against Russia on the outside would be two sides of
the same strategy: the success of a frontal attack
on the democratic resistance of the Donbas basin
depends on minimizing Russian military support
through international sanctions.
virulent hostility to Russian President Putin was on
full display at the G20 meeting in Australia:
NATO-linked presidents and prime ministers,
especially Merkel, Obama, Cameron, Abbott, and
Harper’s political threats and overt personal
insults paralleled Kiev’s growing starvation
blockade of the besieged rebels and population
centers in the south-east. Both the G20’s economic
threats against Russia and the diplomatic isolation
of Putin and Kiev’s economic blockade are preludes
to NATO’s Final Solution – the physical annihilation
of all vestiges of Donbas resistance, popular
democracy and cultural-economic ties with Russia.
on its NATO mentors to impose a new round of severe
sanctions against Russia, especially if its planned
invasion encounters a well armed and robust mass
resistance bolstered by Russian support. NATO is
counting on Kiev’s restored and newly supplied
military capacity to effectively destroy the
southeast centers of resistance.
decided on an ‘all-or-nothing
campaign’: to seize all of Ukraine or, failing
that, destroy the restive southeast, obliterate its
population and productive capacity and engage in an
all-out economic (and possibly shooting) war with
Russia. Chancellor Angela Merkel is on board with
this plan despite the complaints of German
industrialists over their huge loss of export sales
to Russia. President Hollande of France has signed
on dismissing the complaints of trade unionists over
the loss of thousands French jobs in the shipyards.
Prime Minister David Cameron is eager for an
economic war against Moscow, suggesting the bankers
of the City of London find new channels to launder
the illicit earnings of Russian oligarchs.
diplomats are desperate to find a compromise, which
allows Ukraine’s ethnic Ukraine- Russian population
in the southeast to retain some autonomy under a
federation plan and regain influence within the
‘new’ post-putsch Ukraine. Russian military
strategists have provided logistical and military
aid to the resistance in order to avoid a repeat of
the Odessa massacre of ethnic Russians by Ukrainian
fascists on a massive scale. Above all, Russia
cannot afford to have NATO-Nazi-Kiev military bases
along its southern ‘underbelly’, imposing a blockade
of the Crimea and forcing a mass exodus of ethnic
Russians from the Donbas. Under Putin, the Russian
government has tried to propose compromises allowing
Western economic supremacy over Ukraine but without
NATO military expansion and absorption by Kiev.
That policy of
conciliation has repeatedly failed.
democratically elected ‘compromise regime’ in Kiev
was overthrown in February 2014 in a violent putsch,
which installed a pro-NATO junta.
the Minsk agreement with impunity and encouragement
from the NATO powers and Germany.
The recent G20
meeting in Australia featured a rabble-rousing
chorus against President Putin. The crucial
four-hour private meeting between Putin and Merkel
turned into a fiasco when Germany parroted the NATO
responded by expanding Russia’s air and ground troop
preparedness along its borders while accelerating
Moscow’s economic pivot to Asia.
important, President Putin has announced that Russia
cannot stand by and allow the massacre of a whole
people in the Donbas region.
Poroshenko’s forthcoming blitz against the people of
southeast Ukraine designed to provoke a Russian
response – to the humanitarian crisis? Will Russia
confront the NATO-directed Kiev offensive and risk a
total break with the West?
Petras is a Bartle Professor (Emeritus) of Sociology
at Binghamton University, New York. Latest book:
“The New Extractivism. A Post-Neoliberal Development
Model or Imperialism of the Twenty-First Century?”
Henry Veltmeyer and James Petras. Zed Books.