Donald Trump’s America
By Lawrence Davidson
Part I – Understanding Donald Trump
It is really not too hard to figure out Donald Trump. The man is
having fun. What we have witnessed so far is a demonstration of how
a billionaire megalomaniac and narcissist has fun: having secured a
national stage, he runs around and says whatever he pleases, even if
it is blatantly obnoxious. If he gets positive feedback he does it
all the louder. If he gets negative feedback he turns into a bully,
which he also sees as fun. If his alliance with Fox “News” doesn’t
work out, maybe he will buy his own network. If the Republican Party
spurns him, he will no doubt start his own political party. He can
afford it and, again, it’s a lot of fun. By the way, while Trump is
having fun many of the rest of us don’t find him funny at all.
Indeed, its a serious question whether Mr. Trump’s good time will,
in the end, encourage him to become a dangerous demagogue.
Part II – Understanding Donald Trump’s Following
If explaining Donald Trump isn’t all that difficult, explaining why
millions of people applaud him is more of a challenge. And it is,
after all, millions. There are roughly 219 million Americans who are
qualified to vote, but only approximately 146 million are registered
to do so. Of those registered, 29% are signed up as Republicans.
That is about 42 million people. According to a 4 August 2015 CBS
poll, Trump has a favorable rating among 24% of that number. That is
about 10 million people. We can assume that this is a low number,
given it only counts presently registered Republicans and not
independents.
There is a lot of speculation over why these people like Trump. Here
are the typical reasons given:
— “Trump has found support from Republican voters looking for a
successful businessman to jumpstart an economic renaissance.” This
sort of sentiment is seconded by the opinion that, because he is a
rich businessman, he must know how to “generate jobs.” Of course,
this is an illusion. Most businesspeople operate within economic
pockets and know little about “the economy” as a whole. Many of them
get rich not by creating jobs but by eliminating them through
mergers and downsizing operations.
— He is not a Washington insider, he has never worked in Washington
or been “stained by political life.” This is a very questionable
asset. Government is a bureaucratic system with well established
rules. The notion that Mr. Trump can come into such a system and
“revolutionize” it without causing chaos is fantasy.
— Trump “is a fighter” and “people want a fighter.” He tells it like
it is and has no time for “political correctness,” of which most
people are allegedly “deathly tired.” In other words, there is a
subset of the population who don’t like minority groups or their
demand for respect. They don’t like feminists and their concerns
about women’s rights. They don’t like immigrants and the notion that
the government should treat them like human beings. Trump has become
their champion because he says what they believe, which, of course,
passes for an assumed truth: all of this “political correctness” is
an anti-American attack on traditional values.
That all of these Trump supporters are oblivious to the fact that
they themselves are descended from both legal and illegal immigrants
(and women) who had to fight the prejudiced sentiments of people
just like them to become accepted citizens presents an almost
laughable picture. Almost, but not quite, for their sentiments are
also very scary.
Part III – The Permanently Disaffected
These sentiments are really the surface emanations of a crowd
phenomenon that has deeper meaning and persistent historical roots.
In all societies, one finds the chronically disaffected, frustrated
and resentful. Their numbers may go up or down according to economic
and social circumstances, but they never go to zero.
In the US this statistically permanent set of disaffected citizens
seems to find itself most comfortable amidst the ultra-conservative
right, with its hatred of “big” government and its resentment of
just about any taxation. All of this is melded to national
chauvinism and exceptionalism. Of late this minority has become
quasi-organized in what is known as the Tea Party movement.
A Gallup poll conducted in October of 2014 suggested that 11% of
voting age Americans are “strong supporters” of the Tea Party
movement. If we use the 219 million figure given above, that comes
to 24 million Americans. There is certainly an overlap here with the
10 million avid followers of Donald Trump.
What this means is that Trump, in his narcissistic pursuit of
recognition, has tapped into a subgroup of the population that
includes the permanently dissatisfied. He can rally them and perhaps
bring them together into a bigger movement of, say, 20 to 25% of the
population. But he can never satisfy that element’s essentially
nihilistic grumbling. In other words, Trump is playing with fire and
at some point he will have to wake up to just what sort of monster
he has by the tail. Then he will have a decide: is he just out for
fun or does he want to go the route of the demagogue?
Part IV – Conclusion
The American people are not immune to demagoguery. In fact Fox
“News,” on the air 24/7, has made a lot of money showcasing
demagogues of one sort or another: Bill O’Reilly might be the most
well known of the lot. These people have had their predecessors,
particularly during the Great Depression, such as Father Charles
Coughlin, a Detroit-based Catholic priest who ended up supporting
fascist principles. His radio broadcasts had tens of millions of
listeners. And then there is Joe McCarthy, etc.
Donald Trump certainly has the qualifications to join the long list
of history’s demagogues: good speech making abilities, no problem
with playing fast and loose with the facts, and an affinity for the
crowd, which energizes him. For him it also seems to be a lot of
fun. For the rest of us it is just another aspect of living under
the old curse of interesting times.
Lawrence Davidson is a retired professor of history from West
Chester University in West Chester PA. His academic research focused
on the history of American foreign relations with the Middle East.
He taught courses in Middle East history, the history of science and
modern European intellectual history.
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