Bernie Sanders: 'We Are Doing Something Very Radical
in American Politics'
After Bernie Sanders was projected to lose the first
three of the five Mini Super Tuesday states to
Hillary Clinton, he turned the focus to his own
campaign in an hour-long speech to supporters in
Phoenix, Arizona, tonight, saying his campaign has
"defied all expectations.
Sanders Had a Phenomenal Night — Here’s Why
Despite Bernie Sanders losing all five states in
last night’s primary contests, he’s within striking
distance of Hillary Clinton. And if Sanders wins the
upcoming Western primaries, he could erase Clinton’s
lead and become the new front-runner for the
At the end
of the night, Hillary Clinton increased her delegate
lead by about 100, still leaving Sanders plenty of
room to eliminate her advantage in the 24 remaining
states. A candidate needs 2,383 delegates to clinch
the Democratic nomination, and as of March 16,
Clinton only has 1,139 delegates to Sanders’ 825.
Less than half of the pledged delegates have been
selected thus far.
All of the
states most favorable to Clinton have already voted,
including the entire deep south, and the states most
favorable to Sanders are still on the calendar. If
anyone should be worried about their chances at the
nomination waning over time, it’s Hillary Clinton.
Furthermore, it’s most important to note that going
into these favorable states, Bernie Sanders only
needs 58% of the remaining pledged delegates. And
considering he picked up 67.7% of the vote in
Kansas, 64.3% in Maine, and a thundering 86.1% in
his home state of Vermont — shutting out Clinton
entirely from the 15% delegate threshold — this is
not as impossible as the
squeaked above the 58% figure with 59% of the vote
in Colorado and 61.6% in Minnesota, and he scored a
respectable 57.1% in Nebraska. He received 60% back
in New Hampshire and has come in virtual ties in
many other states outside of the South thus far,
meaning he’s beaten the target a total of six times.
also continued to bolster his argument for
electability in the general in tonight’s contests.
Among groups that hold special significance in
general elections, like young voters and
independents, Sanders performed particularly well.
For example, 70
percent of independents in Illinois voted for
Sanders over Clinton. And despite Clinton pulling
out a narrow win in Illinois, Sanders still won the
under-45 bloc by a vast margin:
this means is that Bernie Sanders is still well
within striking distance of the nomination as more
Sanders-friendly states take to the polls throughout
the Spring. The primary season is only halfway over,
and the remaining states are
overwhelmingly favorable to Sanders in that
they’re blue states with large populations of
Democratic-leaning independents and voters under 45.
out of the 17 states Sanders has lost, it’s
important to remember that Barack Obama still beat
Hillary Clinton in 2008 despite
losing 21 states. Florida and Ohio, which
Clinton won last night, also went for Clinton in
2008. According to New York Times election results,
Clinton beat Obama in Florida
by 17 points. She also beat Obama in Ohio by a
10-point margin in 2008. Sanders’ loss in those
states isn’t that devastating in context.
Nationally-renowned pollster Nate Silver
carved out a path for Sanders to win the
nomination, showing which states the Vermont senator
had to win, and by what margins, to remain
competitive. Silver doesn’t list Delaware and
Maryland as must-win states for Sanders, meaning he
could theoretically lose those states and two others
while still remaining competitive throughout the
remainder of the primary season.
and Clinton are neck-and-neck in national polls,
Sanders can still win the nomination if he wins the
upcoming Western contests by comfortable margins.
Many of the Western states are caucuses, where
Sanders traditionally does well. Three of Sanders’
last four landslide victories — Kansas,
Nebraska — are caucus states. While Western
states are traditionally polling deserts at this
stage, donations from certain geographical regions
help shine a light on how favorable the West is for
Sanders. it should be noted that six of the
top 10 cities that donate the most money per
capita to the Sanders campaign are in Western states
that have yet to vote:
from the Seattle Times
Alan Grayson, a Florida superdelegate who has
endorsed Sanders, explained in a recent Huffington
Post blog that the second half of this primary
season — after March 15 — could be referred to as
“Presidential Primary Version 2.0.” Grayson agrees
best states are in the months to come:
Democratic presidential primary 2.0 elects a
total of 2033 pledged delegates. If Bernie
Sanders wins those races (and delegates) by the
same 60-40 margin that he has amassed in
primaries and caucuses outside the “Old South”
to date, then that will give him an advantage of
407 pledged delegates. That is more — far more —
than the current Clinton margin of 223. [Ed.
Note — Margin is now 314, but the math still
works out. Again, Sanders’ target is about 58%.]
700 pledged delegates are chosen on June 7
alone. It seems unlikely that either candidate
will accumulate a margin of 700 pledged
delegates before then. So this one may come down
to the wire.
your seat belts. It’s going to be a wild ride.
Cahill is a writer for US Uncut based in the Pacific
Northwest. He specializes in coverage of political,
economic, and environmental news. You can contact
Tom via email at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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